CIA believes China's invasion of Taiwan is only a matter of time

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CIA believes China’s invasion of Taiwan is only a matter of time

A US Navy guided missile destroyer sails through the Taiwan Strait.

China is learning lessons from Russia's war in Ukraine that make it ready to use force against Taiwan, the CIA chief said on Wednesday.

It seems to us that [the war in Ukraine seen by Beijing] does not really change the question of whether the Chinese leadership could choose to use force against Taiwan in the next few years, but when and how they will, a said the head of the American intelligence agency, Bill Burns.

Guest of the Aspen Security Forum, in the United States, he nevertheless put into perspective the risks of a passage to the act of President Xi Jinping by the end of the year. year on Taiwan, while some consider such an outbreak possible after an important appointment of the Communist Party in power.

Such risks seem to us to be growing over the decade, he said.

Beijing is probably troubled watching the war in Ukraine, analyzed the boss of the agency, calling it a strategic failure for Vladimir Putin who thought he could overthrow kyiv in a week.

Mr. Burns believes that Beijing saw it as proof that you cannot achieve quick, decisive victories without throwing sufficient military weight into the battle.

Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen aboard a frigate stationed at a naval base (archives).

I think the lesson Chinese leaders and the military are learning is that you need to muster a broadly dominant force to win, he said again, also making clear the importance of controlling the power. x27; information space and preparation for potential economic sanctions.

The head of the CIA also considered, in line with previous statements from Washington, that China, despite its verbal support, does not provide military support to the Russia in its war in Ukraine.

The United States is concerned about Beijing's increased military pressure in recent years against Taiwan, a democratic island, which China considers part of its territory and has vowed to resume a day.

Earlier at the same Forum in Aspen, in the Rocky Mountains, the Chinese ambassador to the United States said that Beijing always supports peaceful reunification.

No conflict, no war: this is the most important consensus between China and the United States, underlined Qin Gang, who however says he regrets that the United States is gradually fading from its policy unique recognition of Beijing.

Only by strictly following the one China policy, joining together to oppose Taiwanese independence, can we have peaceful reunification, he added.

US President Joe Biden angered Beijing by saying on May 23 that the United States would militarily defend Taiwan in the event of an invasion by Communist China, before backtracking the next day and declaring that strategic ambiguity, the deliberately fuzzy concept that has governed Washington's Taiwanese policy for decades, remained unchanged.

Joe Biden told reporters on Wednesday that he expected to speak with President Xi Jinping within the next ten days.

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