Five things to watch for on provincial election night | Elections Quebec 2022

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Five things to watch for on provincial election night | ÉQuebec 2022 elections

Will the party leaders be able to achieve their goals on election night?

A five-party race, new leaders trying to make their way to the Salon Bleu, an outgoing Prime Minister who is aiming for a new majority mandate: the evening of October 3rd promises to be busy. To better understand the battles between the main political parties, here are five things to watch out for on election night.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, leader of the Parti Québécois.

The Parti Québécois (PQ) suffered its worst defeat in 50 years of history in the last election. On the evening of October 1, 2018, the formation disappeared from the electoral map on the island of Montreal, its constituencies being delighted by Québec solidaire and the Coalition avenir Québec. The party having won only 17.06% of the vote, its leader Jean-François Lisée announced his departure the same evening.

At the time of the dissolution of the x27;National Assembly on August 28, the PQ did not even have the status of an officially recognized party, with only 7 seats out of 125.

Arrived at the head of the PQ troops in October 2020, Paul St-Pierre Plamondon has given himself the challenge of rekindling the flame of sovereignty. The PQ was able to benefit from a comeback, according to the projections of the Qc125 website, in particular thanks to the style of Mr. St-Pierre Plamondon during his appearances at TVA's Face-à-face and the Radio-Canada leaders' debate.

The new leader, who is trying to enter the National Assembly, found himself at the end of the campaign with one opponent less in the constituency he is running for. The solidarity candidate he was up against in Camille-Laurin (formerly Bourget), in Montreal's east end, withdrew from the race after she was caught stealing Parti Québécois promotional material from the box. to letters from a voter.

Outside Montreal, the fight promises to be tight in Bonaventure and Marie-Victorin, former PQ ridings where the party is neck and neck with the Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ), according to projections. In the Magdalen Islands, PQ member Joël Arseneau is seeking a second term after narrowly winning the riding in 2018, after a judicial recount that confirmed his lead by 15 votes.

< p class="e-p">Will René Lévesque's party be able to win more than seven seats on Monday evening, or will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon in turn be dragged down?

Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois, co-spokesperson for Québec solidaire.

Québec solidaire (QS) has been able to achieve historic breakthroughs outside Montreal during the last election, particularly in the Quebec region (Jean-Lesage, Taschereau). On the evening of October 1, 2018, the party won 16.10% of the vote, the best result in its young history.

At the time of the dissolution of the Blue Room, QS formed the second official opposition, with 10 deputies.

For this campaign, the team did not skimp on their efforts to maintain the gains made in 2018. The game is not yet won. x27; advance, especially in Sherbrooke, where the solidarity Christine Labrie faces the caquiste rookie Caroline St-Hilaire, former mayor of Longueuil and political analyst.

In Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue, Émilise Lessard-Therrien is also trying to keep her place. The Horne Foundry file, which caught up with outgoing Prime Minister François Legault at the end of the campaign, does not seem to have undermined the CAQ's chances, according to the most recent projections from Qc125.

Recently, Québec solidaire co-spokesperson Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois changed his itinerary to lend a hand to candidate Mathieu Perron-Dufour, encouraged by favorable momentum in Hull. The projections suggest a three-way fight between QS, the CAQ and the Liberal Party of Quebec (PLQ).

Also according to the Qc125 vote projections, Quebec solidaire would be in particular good position in the Montreal ridings of Verdun and Maurice-Richard. In the latter, former Liberal Marie Montpetit, who became independent after allegations of harassment and intimidation, is not seeking re-election.

Dominique Anglade, leader of the Quebec Liberal Party.

As with the PQ, the evening of October 1, 2018 was a tough test for the Liberals. Then led by Philippe Couillard, who was the outgoing Premier, the PLQ only obtained 24.82% of the votes. This is its worst defeat in 150 years of history, which also caused the departure of Philippe Couillard in the days that followed.

Dominique Anglade arrived at the head of the troops in May 2020, in the midst of a pandemic. It was in this extraordinary context that she set about rebuilding the party. Between the regional charter and a green shift, his leadership refocused the QLP by pulling a little to the left.

But this new liberal identity did not seem to convince voters during the campaign. And, a bit like during the pandemic, where the CAQ was omnipresent in the public space, the leader seemed to have difficulty making herself seen and heard, especially with the French-speaking electorate. Blunder in the financial framework or good performance in the debate? Regardless, the needle of the projections seemed to remain motionless.

On the evening of October 3, we will have to see if the PLQ will keep its ridings outside the #x27;Island of Montreal, particularly in the Outaouais and Laval, or if it will find itself confined almost exclusively to the west of the metropolis. Even in her own riding, Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne, nothing is certain for Ms. Anglade: QS and the CAQ are hot on her heels, according to projections.

Éric Duhaime, leader of the Conservative Party of Quebec.

For his first election campaign as Conservative leader, Éric Duhaime aims to enter the National Assembly. The first and only member of the Conservative Party of Quebec (PCQ) who sat in the Blue Room when the election was called, former caquiste Claire Samson, chose not to stand again.

The most recent projections of Qc125 indicate that the fight is tight between the PCQ and the CAQ in Chauveau, constituency where Mr. Duhaime is running. Similar battles are to be expected in the ridings of Beauce-Nord and Beauce-Sud, which are also in the Quebec region.

Generally speaking, the conservative formation has been on a roll throughout the campaign, according to projections. A first for the PCQ in general elections.

Éric Duhaime, who has repeatedly recalled the path taken by his training since 2018, therefore hopes that this new popularity will translate into seats in the National Assembly to make enter “the discontent” in Parliament.

French Legault, leader of the Coalition avenir Québec.

When taking stock of end of the parliamentary session, the outgoing Prime Minister, François Legault, said he was aiming for a “strong mandate” – without however advancing a specific seat objective.

To be in the majority again in the National Assembly, the Coalition avenir Québec will have to elect at least 63 deputies on October 3. When the election was called, François Legault's party occupied 76 of the 125 seats in the Blue Room.

With the Conservative Party of Quebec in the running, the CAQ must deal this time with a additional adversary, who threatens to steal seats in the Quebec region. If support for the outgoing government has crumbled since the start of the campaign, projections still place the formation at the head of the pack.

In 2018, the CAQ succeeded in increasing its support from one end of the province to the other, notably by making gains in the regions of Outaouais, Saguenay–Lac-Saint-Jean , Abitibi-Témiscamingue and Nord-du-Québec. In the northern crown of Montreal and in Quebec, the CAQ had been able to snatch several seats from the PLQ and the PQ.

However, the party only holds two ridings on the island of Montreal, and the leader had admitted, before the election was called, that he wanted to make gains there. The riding of Anjou–Louis-Riel seems particularly within reach, as do Maurice-Richard and Verdun. However, the struggles are very close.

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