
“In 20 years, maybe this heat wave will no longer be considered extreme”
MAINTENANCE. Climatologist Robert Vautard describes the scientific method for attributing extreme weather events to human activities.
I subscribe for 1€ for the 1st month
The Giec now displays absolute certainty. The acceleration of climate disorders is attributable to human activity emitting greenhouse gases. But what is it based on? On a new scientific discipline called “Attribution”. Using meteorological records, models and statistics, climatologists are able to determine the probability that a particular extreme event can be attributed to climate change. Robert Vautard, climatologist, meteorologist and director of the Pierre-Simon Laplace Institute, answers our questions
Le Point: Can you Can you explain to us how Attribution studies are conducted?
Robert Vautard: The attribution of a weather event is simply the answer to the question of causation. Concrete