Kadyrov and Prigozhin against Shoigu. What's happening

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Kadyrov and Prigozhin vs. Shoigu. What's going on

against the Russian military leadership. What do sources and experts say about this?

The head of Chechnya, Ramzan Kadyrov, after the devastating defeat of the Russian army in Liman, attacked the Russian military leadership with sharp criticism and called for a nuclear strike on Ukraine. He was supported by Yevgeny Prigozhin, the creator of PMC Wagner, which has been actively involved in the war against Ukraine since 2014. Some analysts talk about a split in Putin's entourage, others believe that the statements of Kadyrov and Prigozhin, who have personal armies, are designed to protect Putin, since he is the one who leads the Russian troops. our site tells the details.

Mediocrity and sleazebags in the Russian command

The head of Chechnya, Ramzan Kadyrov, said that General Alexander Lapin, who led the defense of the city, was personally to blame for the loss of Liman by the Russian military in the Donetsk region. Kadyrov also said that Lapin received the star of the Hero of Russia for the occupation of Lisichansk, although in fact “he was not there and was not around.” and other units, but did not provide them with the necessary communication, interaction and the supply of ammunition. “

“Two weeks ago, Major General Commander of the Special Forces Akhmat personally reported to me that our fighters could become an easy target … In turn, I informed the head of the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces Valery Gerasimov about the danger. But the general assured me that has no doubts about Lapin's leadership talent and does not believe that a retreat is possible in Krasny Liman and its environs,” Kadyrov said.

A week later, according to the head of Chechnya, Lapin moved his headquarters to Starobelsk, a hundred kilometers away from his units, and he moved to Lugansk.

“It's a shame not that Lapin is mediocre. But that he is being covered up at the top by the leaders in the General Staff. If I had my way, I would demote Lapin to a private, deprive him of his awards and, with a machine gun in his hands, send him to the front line to wash away his shame with blood,” – he said.

Kadyrov called for martial law in the border areas and the use of “low-yield nuclear weapons.” “Yesterday there was a parade in Izyum, today a flag in Liman, and tomorrow what? Everything would be fine if it weren't so bad,” he wrote.

Alexander Lapin has been Commander of the Central Military District of the Russian Federation since 2017. He was repeatedly mentioned in the reports of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation on the course of a full-scale war against Ukraine: he appeared as a general presenting “state awards to servicemen who showed courage and heroism.”

Lapin also awarded his son Lieutenant Colonel Denis Lapin, who commanded the regiment, advancing on Chernigov and Sumy. It is known that the regiment was defeated, but Lapin Jr. was assigned to the award anyway.

Kadyrov was supported by the founder of PMC Wagner Yevgeny Prigozhin. “Kadyrov's expressive statement, of course, is not at all in my style. But I can say: 'Ramzan, handsome, burn.'

This is not the first time that Kadyrov criticizes the RF Ministry of Defense, while Prigozhin supports him. For example, on September 24, the head of Chechnya called for 50 percent of the Russian security forces to be called to the front, and the creator of the PMC Wagner immediately said that the head of Chechnya was right.

On October 3, the Kremlin said that the heads of Russian regions have the right to express their opinion, but called for the exclusion of emotions.

“The heads of the regions have the authority to express their point of view, to give assessments. After all, these are the heads of entire Russian regions, including Ramzan Kadyrov, who, as you know, has done a lot from the very beginning of the special military operation and made a very big contribution to carrying out [campaign]. And continues to contribute… Even in difficult moments, all the same, probably, emotions should be excluded from any assessments,” Kremlin Speaker Dmitry Peskov said.

At the same time, on October 5, Kadyrov said that Putin had awarded him the rank of Colonel General.

Putin likes people from the front line

Meduza, citing two sources close to the Kremlin, writes that these synchronized speeches are not a coincidence. According to them, both Kadyrov and Prigozhin are in the most radical wing of the “party of war”, that is, that part of Russian high-ranking officials and businessmen who advocate further escalation in the war against Ukraine.

“Prigozhin has long-standing rasps with [Russian Defense Minister Sergei] Shoigu. [Now] Prigozhin believes that the army is fighting out of date, and his PMC Wagner is a super-efficient and modern formation. Shoigu and the generals think that PMCs only get in the way, “- said the source of the publication.

Another source added that even before the start of a full-scale war, Prigozhin and Shoigu publicly entered into a “verbal skirmish using obscene expressions” at a meeting in the Russian Defense Ministry.

Kadyrov, after the start of the Russian full-scale invasion, also often pointed out that Chechen units are fighting more effectively than the Russian army as a whole, and are ready to “take Kyiv on Putin's orders” even tomorrow.

Meduza's interlocutors noted that the Kremlin did not to publicly rebuke Kadyrov and Prigozhin, who spoke out against the RF Ministry of Defense. “The president considers the work of the Chechen battalions and Prigozhin effective,” the source said.

The publication writes that against the backdrop of a series of defeats at the front, Putin is “interested in alternative methods of warfare” and the people who offer them.

“The President now likes such people from the front line, “real people”. Prigozhin and Kadyrov correspond to this image or try to match it,” one of the sources said.

Meduza's interlocutors said that the criticism from Prigozhin and Kadyrov is tacitly supported by “a group of ambitious young FIS men”, Putin's former bodyguards – the Tula governor Alexei Dyumin and the former head of the Yaroslavl region, now aide to the President of the Russian Federation Dmitry Mironov.

Sources say that Dyumin and Mironov are counting on their career advancement, in particular, to ministerial positions, but even against the backdrop of failures at the front, Putin remains “conservative in personnel decisions” – and is unlikely to make radical reshuffles at a time when the Russian Defense Ministry is under public criticism.

What experts think about the statements of Kadyrov and Prigozhin

Military expert Yuri Fedorov says that there is no doubt that the Russian generals are not distinguished by either powerful intellect or high professional qualities, but this is far from the only and not so much.

“The campaign of accusations against senior officers that has begun in Russia is designed to hide the fact that Vladimir Putin bears the greatest responsibility for the failure of the Russian army in eastern Ukraine. After all, it was he who, in the middle of summer, ordered all cash and upcoming reserves to be sent to the Kherson region and near Donetsk and categorically forbade transfer them from there, first to the Kharkiv region, and then to Liman,” the expert wrote.

As a result, the Russian army was left in these areas without reserves and was doomed to defeat, says Fedorov. A string of defeats in eastern Ukraine has raised the practical issue of responsibility for a war “which Russia cannot win and will most likely lose.”

“There are, in fact, two options: either the top nomenklatura and the military, in the name of saving the regime, will accuse Putin of starting a war that is obviously impossible to win, or Putin will accuse the generals of losing the war because of their incompetence or even betrayal. Consequences and both options are clear,” the expert believes.

The clarification of relations between Putin and the generals is inevitable, but most likely it will stretch for several months, and during this time the situation at the front may change once again, since the capture of Liman allows Ukrainian troops to advance in two main directions – on Svatovo, an important transport hub where several highways supplying Russian troops in the occupied territories of the Donetsk and Lugansk regions and to Kremennaya, a city that covers the Rubizhne-Severodonetsk-Lysichansk agglomeration from the north-west, lost by Ukraine in June. More about this in the material After Liman, the front may fall apart.

The Institute for the Study of War believes that Kadyrov and Prigozhin greatly damaged the Kremlin's narratives and undermined Putin's leadership, perhaps unintentionally. American analysts also note that Putin made operational military decisions in the war against Ukraine and managed his military command at the micro level.

Therefore, the Russian ruler is responsible for decisions not only not to strengthen Liman, but also to try to keep it – facts , which are probably known to at least a number of people in his immediate circle, writes ISW.

“Thus, Kadyrov’s direct attack on Lapin is an indirect attack on Putin, whether Kadyrov realizes it or not,” the analysts stressed, adding that Putin’s lack of criticism of the actions of the military command “makes Kadyrov’s statement and Prigozhin’s support for him especially noteworthy.”

Ukrainian military journalist Yuriy Butusov noted that not a single Russian military man wrote at least on his page in social networks a word in defense of Gerasimov and Lapin. Not a single serviceman criticized Kadyrov and Prigozhin.

“But the most scandalous thing is that the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation and Minister Shoigu did not come to the defense of their commanders! … At the same time, Kadyrov and Prigozhin openly violated Russian laws and should be detained… But the laws in Russia act against bloggers, and bandits can “smear” the military as they like. Or call the heroes of Russia Gerasimov and Lapin “slickers” – this is not discredit, but the truth, and they are not punished for this? that we are fighting against an army of slaves,” Butusov wrote.

Interestingly, on October 5, Prigozhin's Ura.ru published an article with analytics that the statements of Kadyrov and Prigozhin could have negative consequences at the front. The material says that such disputes and conflicts at the top indicate a lack of unified approaches to commanding the army and lead to confusion at the front.

“This demoralizes the army. This can lead to disobedience and even partisanism,” said edition of the expert.