The British Ministry of Defense believes that the Russian Federation will try to get support from the African states that remained neutral after the invasion of Ukraine and blame the West for the food crisis.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov went on a tour of African countries: Egypt, Ethiopia, Uganda and the Republic of the Congo. The Kremlin is likely engaging with African states because it believes it will strengthen Russia's status as a “great power.” British intelligence writes about this.
Most likely, the Russian Federation will try to use the visits to blame Western countries for the international food crisis. In addition, Moscow is trying to get the support of African countries that have remained neutral regarding the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
Its secondary goals are likely to secure commodity concessions and convince African states to vote in accordance with Russian interests at international forums.
The British Ministry of Defense noted that since 2014 Russia has made significant efforts to ensure influence in Africa. The Kremlin used the private military company Wagner as one of its favorite tools of influence in the region.
On July 24, Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov said that Russia would “help” Ukrainians get rid of the “anti-people and ahistorical” regime in Ukraine. In his opinion, the Ukrainian people succumbed to state propaganda. In response, Mikhail Podolyak, adviser to the head of the Presidential Office, advised the diplomat to wear a headdress when moving under the sun.