The visit to the island of the US congresswoman has irritated Beijing, which warns that it will take “forceful measures”, in a spiral of warnings in which Washington has also participated
The flight of the military plane from Congresswoman Nancy Pelosi who took off from Malaysia and landed in Taiwan It was possibly the most followed in history on social networks. His landing at the Taipei airport just after 10 PM (local time) confirmed a visit with no official character or prior announcement, but with stormy potential in the Strait of Formosa.
News sources maintain that the president of the House of Representatives will attend ; tomorrow to the Taiwanese parliamentand will meet with the president, Tsai Ing-wen. it will be This was the most relevant and media stage of his Asian journey.Singapore, Malaysia, Japan and South KoreaThey are opening acts in front of an island of twenty million inhabitants, always in the shadow of China and ignored by the UN. His stopover in Taiwan, since it was announced by the American press, clouded the situation. relations between the two powers and stimulated the debate on possible responses from China.
It follows from the rhetoric that it will not be light. The Chinese president, Xi Jinping, warned to his American counterpart, Joe Biden,that “it will burn? if he plays with fire & rdquor ;. Various threats have come from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Chinese embassies and the Army has made it clear that it will not stay behind. arms crossed in the face of an affront to national sovereignty. China has already banned yesterday the imports of a hundred Taiwanese food producers but an economic sanction detracts from the challenge. And, minutes after landing, he issued a message. a statement accusing the United States He has violated the bilateral agreements that contemplate unofficial US visits to the island, making it clear that the visit of a president of the House of Representatives hardly falls into that bag, and urging Washington to respect the one-China agreement.
Pelosi's trip pushes Beijing into a delicate scenario. On the one hand, unprecedented military measures; on the other, inflamed editorials and diplomatic tantrums. With one he exposes himself to unforeseeable consequences with the world's leading military power and the other would be perceived by the world and his people as an opprobrious surrender. “The paper tiger” that Mao used to say about his enemies.
The margin is small: a military measure as firm as it is controlled. So let's rule out shooting down Pelosi's plane, as one hyperventilating journalist suggested. Less insane options that analysts were considering, such as escorting the device with Chinese fighters or forcing it to land on continental soil, were not without risk either.
there will be to differentiate between immediate and subsequent measures, judges Xulio Ríos, director of the China Policy Observatory. “Until now, their military exercises in the strait have been restrained, without their planes and ships crossing the limits. there There may be a substantial and irreversible shift to underscore more incisive military pressure on Taiwan. there will be Some gesture will mark a qualitative leap, but the subsequent measures to respond to the United States' lack of respect for its interests will have more substance. China will transfer a clear message both to its population and to Washington”, advances.
The danger lies not in intentions but in accidents. In the South China Sea, for example, tragedy has been bordered on several occasions by the reckless approach of Chinese and American ships or planes. The density in Taiwanese waters multiplies the risk these days. Several Chinese ships hover around the median line, the unofficial maritime border, and some reports claim that two of their aircraft carriers are heading to the area. Four US warships and one aircraft carrier have also arrived east of Taiwan. “Routine maneuvers,” Washington has promised. And the Taiwanese press speaks of sending fighters to reinforce positions and of a maximum alert in the troops.
China and the United States have already preemptively blamed each other for whatever might happen. Beijing sees in Pelosi's visit another red line that Washington ignores in a sacred matter. For the White House, on the other hand, the trip to the island by the largest US official in decades, the Olympic disregard for Chinese interests and the massive deployment of planes and warships in its backyard are minutiae that Beijing has to deal with. n should digest without fuss.