See you on October 30 for the second round of the presidential election in Brazil

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See you on October 30 for the second round of the presidential election in Brazil

The second round, between the left and the far right, will take place on October 30.

Although he was beaten by the favorite Lula in the first round of the x27;Brazilian election on Sunday, Jair Bolsonaro approached the campaign for the second round with confidence on Monday, facing a stunned but combative left.

Our opponents have prepared for a 100 meter race, but we are ready to run a marathon. We are going to fight with ever more confidence, exclaimed the Head of State on Twitter.

Against all odds, we had more votes in the 1st round that in 2018, nearly two million, he insisted.

Sunday, in the first round of the presidential election, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, icon of the left, won 48% of the vote, ahead of the far-right outgoing president, at 43%, with six million more votes, according to official results.

As with Brexit or the election of Donald Trump, which they did not see coming, the polls were seriously wrong: they had promised Lula a 14-point lead in voting intentions ( 50% against 36%) and even, perhaps, a victory in the 1st round.

The Sao Paulo Stock Exchange welcomed these results on Monday with an increase of more than 5, 5% an hour before closing, while economic circles, even with reservations, continue to support Jair Bolsonaro and his liberal policies.

Lula, for whom this result is very disappointing, met in the afternoon with his center-right running mate, ex-governor Gerald Alckmin, for a campaign coordination meeting in Sao Paulo.


Ex-president Lula da Silva during his last rally on Saturday in Sao Paulo.

I can tell you that we are going to win this election. It's just an extension, said late Sunday in front of his supporters the old lion of Brazilian politics, all the same visibly affected by this electoral disappointment.

Tomorrow [Monday] , I'm starting to campaign, Lula said, promising more trips and more rallies to meet Brazilians to win a 3rd term on October 30.

He said he looked forward to the one-on-one debate with his opponent, to see if he would continue to lie.

Brazil's general elections on Sunday also ended by an unexpected success for the Bolsonarists in the posts of governors and in Congress, especially in the Senate, which saw the arrival of an ultra-conservative wave. Former government ministers were elected.

We are going to see a radically polarized 2nd round, predicts Bruna Santos, of the Brazil Institute, when Brazil is already very fractured after four years of Bolsonaro's mandate.

For Paulo Calmon, political scientist of the University of Brasilia, the race is going to be even more open and promises a fierce dispute, and Bolsonaro maintains all his chances of re-election.

Lula's setback grants even Bolsonaro another month to cause unrest in the streets, believes for his part Guilherme Casaroes, of the Getulio Vargas Foundation.

He too considers that Lula's chances of being elected are much lower.

“ It cannot be ruled out that Bolsonaro galvanizes his base and encourages him to hunt down Lula supporters.

—M. Shifter, Inter-American Dialogue Analyst

Between the two camps, there is a lot of resentment, hatred, and it would not be surprising if this led to unrest, when the countryside has already experienced violence.

Arrived in 3rd and 4th position in the presidential election, Simone Tebet (MDB of the center right), who obtained 4% of the votes, and Ciro Gomes (PDT, center left, 3%) will be very courted.

The voters of Simone Tebet and Ciro Gomes, around eight million people, will decide who will be the next president, estimates Bruna Santos.

The first round will have confirmed Jair Bolsonaro in his hatred of the polls, which had placed him far behind Lula for weeks.

We made the polls lie!, exulted the populist president on Sunday evening, who says he prefers to take the pulse of Brazilians in the street, during its large gatherings or during walkabouts.

According to Guilherme Casaroes, the polling institutes, which gave é inconsistent projections for both the presidential and state elections, will have to reinvent themselves.

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