2024 US presidential election: poll results, Trump ahead of Biden

The 2024 US presidential election will be decided by new between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, unless one of the two candidates is prevented. The results of the polls give the advantage to the Republican.

The contours of the duel between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in the 2024 American presidential election have taken a very particular turn. era since the assassination attempt targeting the Republican and the increasingly expressed doubts, within the Democratic Party, about the capacityé oacute; of the current president & ensure without failure a new mandate of 4 years. 

Among the Democrats, the choice is officially to support the outgoing president and candidate for office. his succession, despite its unpopularity and the cognitive weaknesses which have multiplied in recent weeks. While on the sideé Republicans Donald Trump imposed himself without any difficulty, & following very short primaries. The attack he suffered victim on July 13, 2024 should not change the situation, on the contrary: the former president appears more determined than ever, happy of the aura of the political martyr.

If they are alone in the race, or almost, in their respective political families, Donald Trump and Joe Biden are not going to have an easy electoral campaign. The first will have to juggle between meetings and legal proceedings still in progress, while the second will have to convince very quickly and once and for all of his good health. physical and mental to qualify for the presidency & 82 years old.

What are the poll results between Donald Trump and Joe Biden ?

The outcome of the US presidential election could also be tight. than that of the previous presidential election of 2020. The latest studies listed by the specialized site 270towin shows very close scores between Joe Biden and Donald Trump. In mid-July, Donald Trump was credited with around 50% of the voting intentions of voters registered on the electoral lists against 48% for Joe Biden, if we exclude the other candidates independent.

But the American election is in reality being played out. State by state, each giving the candidates a batch of votes through the big vote-getters. the outcome of the vote. It is therefore the surveys identified with this scale which are relevant to have a vision on the probable results of this American presidential election. According to 270towin, it is Donald Trump who has the advantage. this internship, but the election is in reality coming soon. very tight and uncertain &agrav; this stage.

When does the 2024 American presidential election take place?

The voters are called upon to vote. go to the polls on November 5 to vote à the 2024 presidential election and choose who, Joe Biden or Donald Trump, will return to power. the White House. However, the Americans will not directly elect the President of the United States, rather than directly electing the President of the United States. Instead, they will designate 538 major electors distributed according to the number of representatives each state has in Congress. It is these voters, also endowed with a political color – between blue for Democrats and red for Republicans – who will then elect the President and his vice-president on December 17. The official inauguration of the Head of State will take place on January 20, 2025.

Trump, an eligible candidate the presidential election despite the processes ?

The Republican camp will be represented. by Donald Trump &agrav; the 2024 presidential election. The millionaire discouraged the 2024 presidential election. or got the better of the dozen candidates à have entered the race before or during the primaries. It must be said that the former tenant of the White House enjoys impressive popularity. among conservative voters. And his support is never weakened by his legal setbacks, nor even his convictions. Donald Trump has already été condemned &agrav; twice since January 2024 for defamation and financial fraud.

The candidate à the presidential election also took place. condemned in April, in criminal court, for the falsification of campaign accounts aimed at conceal a bribe toé &agrav; pornographic actress Stormy Daniels, in August, another trial awaits her for fraud on major voters in Georgia during of the 2020 campaign. The most anticipated judgment, on Donald Trump's involvement in the assault on the Capitol in January 2021, was to begin on March 4 , but was é postponement &agrav; a later date.

This latest trial is the only one that represents a real risk for Donald Trump's candidacy. In the United States, no conviction or prison sentence represents ineligibility for criminal proceedings. in the United States, only the fact of having “took part" an insurrection or &agrav; a rebellion" against the country and its institutions prevent à an individual to be elected to high offices of the State. The charges of "conspiracy against the State" and "call & the insurrection" being retained in the trial on the Capitol affair, the trial could recognize the ineligibility of the accused. by Donald Trump. But in reality the chances of this happening are (very) slim. 

Donald Trump's eligibility was threatened for the primaries of three states – Colorado, Maine and Illinois – but these judgments were overturned by the Supreme Court of the United States on March 4. A choice supported by conservative and progressive judges who believe that decisions of federal states cannot influence a common federal election. all American states.

Biden, too old but only candidate for the Democrats ?

No legal concerns in the Democratic camp, but serious concerns about the health of the Democratic Party. of the outgoing president and candidate for office his election. At 81 years old, Joe Biden has already shown signs of weakness, some of which posed problems question his lucidity. In February 2024, a report pointing to "poor memory" of the "âoldé" fueled health fears of the head of state. Which had assured, but ruined? his defense with yet another slip confusing the Egyptian and Mexican presidents. Before that he had confused Macron with Mitterrand or the war in Ukraine with that in Iraq.

Health fears and advanced age of Joe Biden has been winning over voters since his catastrophic debate on June 27, in which he appeared overwhelmed. and unable to follow the train of his thoughts. A survey published by the New-York Times in the spring showed before this é episode that 73% of Americans who voted judge the candidate to be too old to "effectively lead the country", including 55% who had supported the ;#39;man in 2020. Concerns are also being heard within the ranks of the political party, but it seems difficult to replace Joe Biden if he does not renounce himself &agrav; his candidacy. However, the president does not seem to be considering his withdrawal.

Especially since establishing itself as an alternative to Joe Biden would be risky, especially if Donald Trump wins. "If you stand up to challenge the sitting president and fail, facilitating the election of Donald Trump, you are disqualified “destroy your political career,” explained William Galston, expert at the Brookings Institution and columnist in the Wall Street Journal. The party must still have a backup plan in its drawers in the event of voluntary or forced abandonment of the party. by health problems or, in the worst case, the death of Joe Biden during the campaign. It would then be up to the Republican delegates elected during the primaries to choose a new candidate. California Governor Gavin Newsom or Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer are regularly brought up as alternatives, but fail to achieve this. ;agrave; assert yourself.

Who are the other candidates &agrave? US presidential election 2024 ?

Apart from the candidates of the two major American parties, two men have entered the race to become president. the presidential one. Robert Francis Kennedy Jr, nephew of former US President John Fitzgerald Kennedy, is running as an independent candidate. He had first considered to participate in the Democratic Party primaries, but announced waived &agrav; this first selection in October 2023. This specialized lawyer in environmental law has already been established displayed his political support à previous Democratic candidates like Hilary Clinton. He is also known to be a fervent anti-vaccination activist.