Donald Trump: Could his statements weaken him for the American presidential election? ? Poll results

While he hopes to obtain a second term in the White House, Donald Trump is making a series of convoluted statements, particularly against his potential opponent, Kamala Harris. At the same time, the polls are tightening.

Officially nominated by the conservative Republican Party, Donald Trump wants to win a second term, something he was unable to achieve before. agrave; do in 2020. "I promise to be the president of all America, not half' ;quot; he said. on July 18, during the National Convention of Republicans in Paris. Milwaukee. And this time, Donald Trump should face à Kamala Harris, after Joe Biden withdrew from the race the White House, even if the candidate supported by the current tenant of the White House will have to confirm her inauguration during the Chicago Convention from August 19 to 22.

And this major change in the campaign for the American presidential election has already caused harm to Donald Trump. Indeed, the gap in the polls – even if Kamala Harris is not officially a candidate – is narrowing between the former president and Joe Biden's protégé. While the real estate mogul had distanced himself from the Democratic camp after the assassination attempt targeting him On July 13, using the image of the martyr, it would seem that the situation is completely reversed. Indeed, the latest studies published in July place the Republican and the Democratic candidate Kamala Harris neck and neck and estimate that the match could be close in the “Swing states” – these states which have a habit of changing sides and determine the outcome of the election. The latest polls even place the Democrat ahead of the American billionaire in terms of voting intentions, and not in the Swing states: 46% against 44% according to the latest Economist/YouGov poll, published on July 31, 2024.

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Confused remarks that could harm Donald Trump

In an interview with the conservative Fox News channel, Donald Trump did not hesitate to question Kamala Harris's skills, indicating that her foreign counterparts would “walk all over her” if she came to power. On Wednesday, July 31, he accused her of “becoming black” for electoral reasons, during an exchange with African-American journalists in Chicago. “She was Indian at and all of a sudden she changed and she became a black person,” he said. “Words that are divisive and disrespectful,” Kamala Harris responded.

As a reminder, born to a Jamaican father and an Indian mother, Kamala Harris is the first black woman and woman from South Asia to aim for the presidency of the United States of America. She defines herself as a “black woman”. A few days earlier, on July 26, Donald Trump had already found himself under fire from critics. In front of conservative Christians, he declared that “in four years, you will no longer have to vote. We will have solved the problem so well that you will no longer have to vote". 

Donald Trump leading the swing states

The gap is narrowing between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in polls conducted in July. The compilation of the latter gives the Republican with 48% of favorable votes, against 47% for the Democrat. But these national figures are less telling than the trends in each state. The American presidential election is an indirect vote: American voters vote and elect electors who are more or less numerous depending on the population rate of each state (the more inhabitants there are, the more electors there are) and the latter vote for a presidential candidate. When a state is won by the Republicans or the Democrats, all its seats are allocated to one and the same candidate, and it is this number of seats that counts to be elected. You have to win at least 270 of them.

While some states historically and systematically vote for the same camp, others called “Swing states” vary from election to election and often determine the outcome of the election: these are Texas (38 electoral votes), Florida (29), Pennsylvania (20), Ohio (18), Georgia (16), Michigan (16), North Carolina (15), Arizona (11), Wisconsin (10) and Iowa (6). These are the states with many electoral votes that must be won. And so far, according to 270towin, Donald Trump is leading in most of them.