Donald Trump: the candidate sure to win the American presidential election ? Poll results

Candidate of the Republicans à the 2024 American presidential election, Donald Trump hopes to obtain a second term in office. the White House. Will the nomination of another opponent of Joe Biden among the Democrats prevent him from doing so??

Will Donald Trump return &agrave? the White House ? He hopes so and more than that, he assures. "I promise to be the president of all America and not half of it", launched ; Donald Trump the candidate à The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election at the Republican National Convention Milwaukee, Thursday July 18, after predicting an "incredible victory" next November 5.

Candidate officially nominated by the conservative Republican Party, Donald Trump wants to win the second term that he was unable to obtain when he was a candidate for his re-election in the face of Joe Biden in 2020. If he has prepared &agrav; If he beats the outgoing president, it will ultimately be another representative of the democratic camp that he will face. him for the presidential election, Kamala Harris in all likelihood even if the candidate supported by the current tenant of the White House will have to confirm his inauguration during the Chicago Convention from August 19 to 22. But the change in opponent does not seem to worry Donald Trump, who has been making attacks against the American vice-president since June. "She's so bad, so pathetic” we hear him say in a video published on Twitter. this period on his Truth social network. "Kamala Harris is just as ridiculous as Joe Bide", insistedé his campaign team on July 22 after the withdrawal of Joe Biden.

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A few months before the American presidential election, the polls actually give the advantage to Donald Trump. The real estate tycoon has distanced himself from the democratic camp and the assassination attempt against him. July 13 reinforced the support of his supporters. Using the image of the martyr, then that of the messianic candidate & by "miracle" according to his expression, Donald Trump has revived the hopes of the Republican camp. But the latest studies published in July place the Republican and Democratic candidate Kamala Harris neck and neck and estimate that the match could be tight in the "Swing states" – these States which have the habit of changing sides and determine the outcome of the vote.

Donald Trump in the lead in the Swing states

The gap is narrowing between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in the polls carried out in July. The compilation of the latter gives the Republican with 48% of favorable votes, against 47% for the Democrat. But these national figures are less telling than the trends in each state. The American presidential election is an indirect ballot: American voters vote and elect great electors which are more or less numerous depending on the population rate of each state (the more inhabitants there are, the more there are large voters) and the latter vote for a candidate to be elected. the presidential one. When a state is won by Republicans or Democrats, all its seats are allocated to one and the same candidate, and it is this number of seats that counts to be elected. You must win at least 270.

If states vote historically and systematically for the same camp, other calls "Swing states" vary according to the elections and often determine the outcome of the vote: these are Texas (38 major voters), Florida (29), Pennsylvania (20), Ohio (18), Georgia (16), Michigan (16) North Carolina (15), Arizona (11), Wisconsin (10) and Iowa (6). These are the states that have many big voters that must be won. And so far, according to 270towin, Donald Trump is in the lead in most of them.