Strong in the Swing States, Donald Trump Gains Ground Nationally as He Approaches of the vote, but remains behind her Democratic competitor. Enough to win this American presidential election?
The American presidential election will take place on November 5, and two weeks before the election, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are neck and neck in voting intentions. The Republican is slightly behind at the national level according to the political analysis site 538, from the American media ABC News, with 46.7% of potential votes against 48.1% for his competitor (as of October 27). According to the aggregator 270towins, Donald Trump is given 47.4%, compared to 48.1% for Kamala Harris (as of October 27).
But it is more interesting to look at the “swing states”, those states whose election results vary depending on the polls, oscillating between the right and the left over the years. They are called pivot states, which will decide the outcome of the vote. And in recent days, the Republican candidate has made a remarkable comeback in these famous swing states. To convince Republican voters who are committed to his cause, but also the still undecided voters, the Republican candidate for the White House is banking on a program clearly identified with the American right on the economic level or on the subject of immigration. He has thus promised to work towards the relocation of companies and industries to the United States and to launch “the largest expulsion operation” of migrants in history.
While national polls give a slight advantage to the Democrat, of 1.3 &agrav; 1.6 point, it is at the state level that the vote will be played out, particularly around 7 states that change political color from one election to the next: the swing states. Donald Trump comes out on top in all the swing states, without exception according to the compilation of polls carried out by RealClear Politics, while the latter was still ahead in two of them, less than two weeks ago. Be careful, nothing is decided yet in its territories: Trump's lead fluctuates between +0.2 percentage points (Wisconsin) and 2.3 percentage points (Georgia). The battle thus promises to be very close between the two candidates. Other territories are being watched closely, because high stakes, such as Florida, which has 30 electorate voters and in which Donald Trump is in the lead with 51% of voting intentions, compared to 44% for his Democratic rival.
On September 5, in New York, Donald Trump said he wanted to end “communism.” “Send comrade Harris home to California.” A foretaste of his program, which is, to say the least, cash-based and uncompromising. On the economic front, the real estate magnate is considering customs duties of “more than 10%” on all imports, to finance a “large tax cut for the middle class, the upper class, the lower class, the business class,” he explains. At the same time, he intends to make the United States “the world capital of bitcoin and cryptocurrencies”.
Since the US Trade Act of 1974, the US president has had the power to impose quotas and tariffs up to 15% higher for 150 days on countries that have significant surpluses in their balance of payments with the US. He could therefore go further than the 10% announced until now. Enough to cause a real economic and trade war between the US and the EU. However, this scenario still appears unlikely, particularly since the EU remains the United States' leading trading partner.
Regarding the environment, the former president of the United States could be tempted to lift all possible regulations if he were to gain access to the White House. “For each new regulation, we will eliminate at least 10 old laws, and frankly we will have no trouble doing it,” he assured at the beginning of September. “I will quickly put an end to the great green scam,” he has already said. promised in the event of a second term. “We are going to drill (for oil) like crazy” he announced to his supporters, in order to “very quickly lower energy prices”.
On the subject of immigration, Donald Trump's program has the merit of being clear, he wants to launch “the largest expulsion operation” of migrants as soon as he is elected if he were to join the White House. The American billionaire also plans to “use the army” to achieve his ends in order to expel migrants, then to open new detention camps. The automatic right of the soil will also be canceled in case of Donald Trump's election, “for children born to irregular migrants”.
Donald Trump is keeping the future of abortions in the country unclear. He is not taking the line of the American religious right, according to which it would be necessary to promise an outright ban on abortion throughout the country through a federal law. “You have to follow your conscience on this issue, but don't forget that you also have to win elections,” he declared. According to Franceinfo, the Republican is trying to present himself as a defender of “reproductive rights”, an adjustment compared to his previous term.
Latest campaign news
Monday October 28, 2024 .This Sunday, a highly anticipated meeting was held for the Republican camp in the legendary Madison Square Garden in New York. A gathering that posed a problem even before its launch because of a Nazi rally that was held in the same hall in 1939. Indeed, a pro-Hitler American organization, the German-American Bund, had organized a meeting at Madison Square Garden. A similarity denounced by Hillary Clinton on CNN, former opponent of Donald Trump in 2016.
In front of a heated assembly of 20,000 supporters, the meeting was marked by numerous controversial remarks concerning immigrants and certain communities in the United States, whether from Trump himself or through some of his speakers.
Former Fox News host Tucker Carlson called the US vice president a “low-IQ Samoan-Malaysian.” In reality, Kamala Harris is of Jamaican descent on her father's side and Indian on her mother's side. Trump adviser Stephen Miller did not hesitate to that: “America is for Americans and Americans only”, before an activist called Harris “the anti-Christ” while holding up a crucifix to applause from the audience.
Friday October 25, 2024. While Donald Trump and the Republicans are known for their tough, conservative stance on immigration, what about their proposals for border control? ? In effect, the former president of the United States is proposing an aggressive plan to “end the open border policies that have opened the floodgates to a tidal wave of illegal aliens, deadly drugs, and crime.” “linked to migrants”, can be read in Donald Trump's program for the 2024 American presidential election, unsurprisingly titled: Make America great again. A plan that is part of chapter number 2 of his project: “seal the border and stop the invasion of migrants”.
To do this, the Republican Party, if it were to gain access to the White House next November, intends first to reestablish all the border policies of the Trump administration, and will put an end to all releases of illegal aliens into the interior. “We will complete the border wall, shift much of our federal law enforcement to immigration enforcement, and use cutting-edge technology to monitor and secure the border. We will use every resource necessary to stop the invasion, including moving thousands of troops now stationed overseas to our own southern border,” the official platform states. The US Navy could also be deployed “to enforce a total blockade on fentanyl (drug) in our region's waters”.
Friday October 25 2024. During an interview this Thursday, Donald Trump did not fail to address a small dig at Europe. The former president of the United States compared the European Union to a “mini China” in terms of trade, due to the lack of opportunities, according to him, for American products on the European market. “They don't take our cars, they don't take our agricultural products, they don't take anything,” he said.”You know, the EU is a mini China, but not as mini as that (…) They treat us very, very badly,” he continued. The martyr position, regularly used by the Republican, is clearly out again.”
Let us recall that since the 1974 US Trade Act, the US president has had the power to impose quotas and customs tariffs up to 15% higher for 150 days on countries that have significant surpluses in their balance of payments with the United States. If he returned to the White House, Trump could therefore go further than the 10% announced until then. Enough to generate a real economic and commercial war between the USA and the EU. However, this scenario still appears unlikely, especially since the EU remains the United States' leading trading partner.
Friday, October 25, 2024. As revealed by CNN, Donald Trump denied this Thursday having declared : “I need the kind of generals that Hitler had,” and he criticized The Atlantic when asked about the reported comments. At a Cuban restaurant in Las Vegas, CNN asked the former president about the reporting in The Atlantic and his alleged comments. “No, I never said that. I would never say that. He's a rag, he's making things up. He's done it before. It's a bankrupt magazine.” “Just before the election, it's just a bankrupt magazine,” the Republican candidate blurted out.
As Trump was preparing to leave the hotel, CNN asked Trump about a controversial statement he allegedly made: “Hitler did good things, too,” after John Kelly, Trump's former White House chief of staff, told the New York Times that he had made the comment more than once. Donald Trump “paused”, then “turned around”, the outlet reports, to declare: “I never said that.” In the final right-wing race of the election, unsurprisingly, it is clear that Donald Trump is denying all the accusations against him.
Thursday, October 24, 2024. Donald Trump continues his campaign across the country this Thursday. The former president of the United States is visiting two Sunbelt states: Arizona and Nevada (two swing states). Territories in which he is currently leading according to the compilation of the latest polls carried out by RealClear Politics. The Republican Party is therefore hoping to widen the gap in these pivotal territories of the election that could well tip the balance in favor of the former American real estate magnate.
He will first speak at a campaign rally in Tempe, Arizona, on inflation and the prices of household goods. He will then travel to Las Vegas to deliver a speech at the “United for Change” rally organized by Turning Point PAC and Turning Point Action. The event is expected to focus on “celebrating the Asian American and Pacific Islander (AAPI) community while promoting civic engagement,” according to the event's website.
Thursday October 24, 2024.Donald Trump is accused of sexually assaulting a model he met through Jeffrey Epstein during the 1990s, the Guardian reported on Wednesday. The assault allegedly took place in Trump Tower in New York in 1993, according to the model. The former real estate mogul allegedly put his hands “everywhere” on her breasts, waist and buttocks. She admits to having been “deeply troubled.”
Donald Trump campaign press secretary Caroline Leavitt denied the allegations: “It is clear that this false story was invented by the Kamala Harris campaign,” she said. According to the Guardian, model Stacey Williams had already spoken about what she is now denouncing on her social media. She is now detailing them in an online conversation on a group called “Survivors for Kamala”.””The idea of this monster returning to the White House is my worst nightmare,” she explains. She claims to have been the victim of a “twisted game” between Trump and Epstein, a powerful American financier and sex offender.
Mercredi 23 octobre 2024. Donald Trump's former chief of staff has been tough on his former boss. In an interview with the New York Times on Tuesday, John Kelly said the Republican presidential candidate “prefers to take a dictatorial approach to government.” He said the former real estate mogul “never accepted the fact that he wasn't the most powerful man in the world – By “power” I mean the ability to do whatever he wanted, whenever he wanted, he says. An article in The Atlantic also quotes John Kelly, who recalls an exchange with Donald Trump about the loyalty of Adolf Hitler's generals. These statements have been denied by several members of the Republican campaign team.
200% Deposit Bonus up to €3,000 180% First Deposit Bonus up to $20,000These remarks echo those of Mark Milley, former chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff under Trump during the last year of his term. Milley indicated in late 2023 that Trump was “a fascist to the core” in the Washington Post. Will these statements weaken the Republican in the race for the White House? ? For now, the duel is extremely tight with Kamala Harris, the two candidates are neck and neck: 49% against 48% of voting intentions in favor of the Democrat.
Tuesday, October 22, 2024. Wrongly convicted of the rape of a jogger in New York in 1989, the “Central Park Five,” as they are nicknamed, spent between 6 and 13 years in prison before the real perpetrator came forward and admitted to assaulting the young woman left for dead. The five black and Hispanic men decided to to sue Donald Trump for defamation over his comments on the affair during the presidential debate between the Republican and his rival Kamala Harris last September.
As a reminder, shortly after the events, Donald Trump, then in his real estate business, had bought a page of advertising in the city's newspapers calling for the reinstatement of the death penalty in the state. In 2014, these five men obtained $41 million in compensation from the American justice system. During the debate between Trump and Harris in September 2024, the Republican had wrongly claimed that the five men had “pleaded guilty” and that the victim was dead. A claim that the “Central Park Five” accuse the former president of the United States. They filed a complaint against Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, the state and swing state where the one and only debate of this campaign took place.
Tuesday October 22, 2024.  ;Coming to North Carolina this Monday for the eventBelievers and Balots, Donald Trump this time tried to convince a religious electorate. And it is rather rare to hear the former president of the United States talk about religion, which is why this trip was relatively important two weeks before the election. “As I look back on the path and events of my life, I now recognize that it is the hand of God that has led me to where I am today,” Trump declared.
Regarding the assassination attempt he suffered this summer in Pennsylvania, he said that day his “faith took on new meaning … largely by what seemed to be a supernatural hand.” “I'd like to think that God saved me for a purpose, and that was to make our country greater than ever,” he added. As a reminder, North Carolina is one of the 7 Swing states in this American presidential election, in other words, an undecided state in which the political color changes from one election to the next. For the moment, the Republican is in the lead in this state (48.4% of voting intentions against 47.9% for Kamala Harris, according to RealClear Politics).
Monday, October 21, 2024. The help of Elon Musk, CEO of the social network X, formerly Twitter, or even SpaceX, for Donald Trump in an attempt to rally a wider electorate and get the former president of the United States elected no longer seems to have any limits. The billionaire was in Pittsburgh this Sunday for his last stop in the pivotal state of Pennsylvania, and after having donated $75 million to help Trump &be re-elected, he said he was willing to donate $1 million to a Donald Trump voter per day until the November 5 election. The only requirements for receiving the check: living and voting in a swing state, being registered on the electoral rolls and voting for the Republican candidate.
In detail, the operation announced by Musk is even more clever than it seems. It is also imperative to sign a petition defending the carrying of weapons to participate in this “lottery”. To be drawn at random, and receive a first check for 47 euros (in addition to the million euros per day), it is also mandatory to provide your own telephone number and that of a “sponsor”, a voter from the same state, potentially attracted by the same conservative ideas. To allow the Trump campaign team to verify the identity of the recipient, he must finally agree to be contacted by phone by the Republican candidate's team. For the paltry sum of 47 euros, Elon Musk has the luxury of holding two telephone numbers of conservative voters in key election states, who can be called to ensure that they actually turn out to vote, and who could convince the last undecided voters around them.
Some experts say the move is illegal and amounts to vote buying because it violates federal election law that prohibits payments for voter registration. On Sunday, October 20, the winner was a woman named Kristine Fishell, who came down from the theater balcony wearing a red Trump T-shirt as Musk waited on stage. She thanked him not only for the money, but also for “the wealth and responsibility that you're using to save free speech.” During the event, Musk pushed fake news about Donald Trump's campaign, including saying that “the Constitution is literally under attack,” and that if Trump doesn't win, “I'm afraid we're going to have a one-party state that's going to look like California, but really.” “worse,” he said.
Friday October 18, 2024.~6 0~/strong>According to CNN, “former President Donald Trump lied about a range of issues during the last month of the presidential election,” and particularly during the last two weeks in October. However, the network reveals that it is mainly on the subject of immigration that the real estate mogul is making false statements. Crime, Kamala Harris' record, his own record… So many subjects on which Donald Trump would accumulate a “dizzying deluge of false assertions”, according to the channel.
First, on Kamala Harris' border role. Trump has repeatedly claimed that President Joe Biden has made her a “border czar” and has said that “she is in charge of the border.” Which is completely false. Border security is the responsibility of Homeland Security, and Alejandro Mayorkas. Joe Biden simply asked Kamala Harris to lead diplomacy with El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras to try to address the conditions that have driven their citizens to try to emigrate to the United States.
Donald Trump also repeated a false claim that Kamala Harris has “never even been” to the U.S. border. Yet Harris went to the border as vice president, to Texas in mid-2021 and then again to Arizona last month. So Trump's claim has been false for three years.
Friday October 18, 2024 . The former president of the United States gave an interview this Thursday to Patrick Bet-David, author of the podcast PBD. "I think Zelensky is one of the best traders I have ever seen. Every time he comes, we give him a hundred billion dollars," he declared, on the subject of American aid distributed to Ukraine since the war with Russia began.
“Who else in history has received so much money ? This has never happened before". "And that doesn't mean I don't want to help him, because I really feel sorry for those people. But he should never have allowed this war to start. This war is a defeat". According to the American real estate tycoon, Ukraine has already lost the war.
“Ukraine is no longer Ukraine. Almost all the cities have been razed. All those beautiful golden domes are lying on their sides, broken into pieces (…)”This should have been settled before it started, it would have been so simple,” he continued. He also took the opportunity to reaffirm his ambition to end this war if he were to run for a second term in office. the White House.
Thursday October 17, 2024.& ;nbsp;À At Univision's town hall on Wednesday, Donald Trump refused to back down from false claims that Haitian migrants from Springfield were eating pets in Ohio, in front of undecided Latino voters, even though the report has been rejected by local and state leaders from both parties.
When asked by an audience member if he truly believed the Springfield story, Trump insisted he was simply “reporting what was reported.” “All I do is report,” the former president said, sharing his sources only to cite “newspapers.” The real estate mogul also, again without any evidence to support it, claimed that the migrant community “also eats other things that they are not supposed to eat.”
Wednesday October 16, 2024. Following the statements of his competitor for the White House who claimed to have worked at McDonald's during her studies, Donald Trump will go this weekend to one of the chain's restaurants to prepare fries in Pennsylvania. The objective for the Republican is to discredit Kamala Harris, who had mentioned her experience at the fast food chain in her campaign video to remind people that she comes from a middle-class background.
Recently, Trump supporters have even accused the Democratic candidate of lying and of never having set foot in a McDonald's. In September, Donald Trump already declared that he wanted to work as a cook to “see what it's like”, according to CNN. The former president of the United States should therefore keep his promise this weekend, and go “in the fryer”, as indicated in the columns of The Philadelphia Enquire.
Wednesday October 16, 2024. The Republican presidential candidate appeared more docile than usual on abortion, during a town hall meeting with women in Georgia broadcast on Fox News. The real estate mogul notably suggested less “harsh” laws in Republican states. He also announced "to be against the ban on abortion rights at the federal level and was satisfied that the decision now falls to the states. He also said he supports access to contraception and in vitro fertilization, which is endangered in states like Alabama.
Since the beginning of his campaign, Trump has not positioned himself in line with the American religious right, according to which it would be necessary to promise an outright ban on abortion throughout the country through a federal law. “You have to follow your “heart and conscience” on this issue, but don't forget that you also have to win elections,” he declared.
Tuesday October 15, 2024. The mutual attacks between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris continue. On Saturday, October 12, the Democrat accused her rival of a lack of transparency regarding his health record, highlighting the American real estate tycoon's age, and indicating that the latter was not fit to lead the United States. Donald Trump did not fail to react, this Monday, October 15 on his X account (ex-Twitter).
“I think it's very important that Kamala Harris passes a test of cognitive endurance and agility. Her actions have led many people to believe that there may be something very serious about her. Even 60 Minutes and CBS, in order to protect Lyin' Kamala, illegally and unscrupulously replaced an answer she gave that was totally ” “crazy” with another answer that had nothing to do with the question asked, he said. “Furthermore, she is slow and lethargic when it comes to answering even the simplest questions. We have just lived through this for almost four years, we should not have to do it again!” he said. the former president of the world's leading power, while also taking a dig at Joe Biden's current term.
Monday October 14, 2024.A man was arrested outside a Donald Trump rally on Saturday, October 12, in Coachella, California, in possession of several illegally held weapons. The Riverside County Sheriff's Department says the individual allegedly said he wanted to “kill the president.” The man was also in possession of a handgun and a high-capacity magazine. according to sheriff's officials after the LA Times. He was released a few hours later on $5,000 bail.
The man arrested is reportedly named Vem Miller, a 49-year-old resident of Las Vegas. He is reportedly registered as a Republican and is running for the 2022 Nevada assembly election, according to USA Today. Arriving at the rally, he introduced himself as a journalist. Several passports were found on him, “under different names,” the sheriff said during a press conference. His vehicle was unregistered and had a fake license plate. The main suspect says he is a “Trump supporter” 100%” and that he traveled “with his firearms in the back of his pickup truck at all times” to Fox News.
Vem Miller is scheduled to appear in court on January 2, 2025, on charges of “possession of a loaded firearm” and “possession of a magazine with high capacity”. The arrest "had no impact on the safety of former President Trump or the event attendees," sheriff's officials finally indicated.
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