Kamala Harris: New Heavyweight Support, Latest Polls… Successful Start to Campaign

Kamala Harris, the current American vice president, will be officially sworn in for the White House race on August 9. She has obtained the support of the biggest Democratic figures, such as Barack Obama and the Clintons.

Kamala Harris obtained the most significant support in her camp. The day after Joe Biden withdrew from the race the White House, big names in the Democratic Party had already announced support the current vice-president. The president had called for all democrats everywhere To be behind her. A message heard by the Clinton couple, Elizabeth Warren, Nancy Pelosi and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. It was then former president Barack Obama who brought him the opportunity to do so. her support, Friday, July 26, on X: “Earlier this week, Michelle and I called  our friend Kamala Harris. We told her that we think she would make a fantastic President of the United States and that she has our full support.” In one video, Kamala Harris is seen answering the phone. Barack and Michelle Obama, who confided to her their joy at seeing her take Joe Biden's place in the race à the presidency, all in a very friendly tone.

She has the support of more than 2,500 party delegates, far more than the 1,976 needed to secure the nomination. However, she will not be officially nominated until August 9, when the delegates' votes are formally counted.

What do the polls say?

Now, Democrats have their eyes fixed on the results of the polls. And those carried out after Joe Biden's withdrawal show real momentum for Kamala Harris. The Quinnipiac survey of July 22nd gives her 47% against 49% for Donald Trump. The Morning Consult survey of July 22nd gives voting intentions of around 45% for the Democrat and 47% for the Republican, but an important element to note: Kamala Harris was six points behind until then, she is now only two.

The American vice-president Kamala Harris will be the candidate of the Democrats for the presidential election of November 5th. She is assured of the support of more than 2,500 party delegates, significantly more than the 1,976 needed to secure the nomination. However, she will not be officially nominated until August 9 and the formal counting of delegate votes.

Launched in the race for the White House only 4 months before the election, she has especially become a few days after the withdrawal of Joe Biden – who asked all Democrats to support her – the natural contender of her camp. Several liberal bigwigs, perceived as potential rivals, have also pledged allegiance to her. It must be said that the express campaign that is announced for her is urging her camp to come together.

But the poll trend is clearly in favor of Kamala Harris. Compared to Joe Biden's candidacy, she does better in all categories of voters: black Americans, Latin Americans, WASPs. She records a net gain among male voters and among independent voters. She also gains 7 points among the least educated voters. According to this poll, moreover, Biden's withdrawal seems to have aroused introspection among some Republican voters: 27% believe Trump should be replaced as the Republican candidate, a figure that is on the rise.

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As a reminder, the American election is played out state by state, with each state giving candidates a share of votes through the electors at the end of the vote. It is therefore the polls identified at this scale that are relevant to having a vision of the probable results of this American presidential election. And it is on this ground that that Democrats can have some hope: in the decisive states, the swing states that can swing the election, Kamala Harris is doing better than Joe Biden, according to the New York Times. She is notably given the lead in the very strategic state of Virginia and is on par in Pennsylvania. Here is the map of Democratic and Republican vote projections, updated daily:

Donald Trump refuses debate

On July 25, Kamala Harris said she was ready to take action. debate with Donald Trump, four months before the election. But he judged that " inopportune " to organize a face-to-face with his new opponent. The Republican candidate had nevertheless accepted a debate on September 10. It now seems that it is too late, believes the Democratic candidate on X. In a press release, Donald Trump's team justifies this change of mind: " It would be inappropriate to schedule anything with Harris because the Democrats could very well change their minds. "

His age and background are so many assets

The central question remains: can Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump, who has a convinced electorate and is further strengthened by the consequences and combative image displayed after the assassination attempt on July 13 in Butler, Pennsylvania? ? The American billionaire's team has already sharpened its weapons against Kamala Harris: management of immigration, record in California where Kamala Harris was a prosecutor, personality and an unflattering nickname (“Laughing Kamala”, to mock her bursts of laughter, considered to be a poor sign of seriousness)… The arguments are already ready.

&Conversely, Kamala Harris has several aces up her sleeve to counter Donald Trump and turn the campaign around. Her personal journey is impressive and the vice president knows how to remind people of this. "I am empirical proof of the promise of America," she regularly explains, she is the African-American from an academic background who became the first woman to be elected district attorney of San Francisco, before becoming California's attorney general from 2011 to 2018. 2017.
Her probity with her pedigree as a prosecutor facing a Republican candidate already convicted by the courts and still being prosecuted in several cases are announced as campaign arguments like her energy already demonstrated in the Senate when she appeared as one of the faces of the opposition… Donald Trump during the Republican tycoon's term.

His energy but also his youth could end up seducing the Democratic camp. At 59, the possible candidacy of Kamala Harris would send the announced duel between the two seniors Biden-Trump, aged 81 and 78 respectively, to oblivion. Enough to further mobilize the Democratic electorate? In polls published in recent days, while a possible withdrawal of Joe Biden was already causing Headlines, in the event of a duel between Trump and Kamala Harris, the gap was only two points in favor of the Republican candidate. An insufficient margin for Trump before possible debates and speeches by his possible future opponent.