Kamala Harris: new polls, strong support… A successful start to the campaign

Vice President Kamala Harris has the necessary support to be inducted as a Democratic candidate. And the results of the polls show that his duel against Donald Trump will be tight.

American Vice President Kamala Harris will indeed be the Democratic candidate for the presidential election on November 5. It is assuredé received support from more than 2,500 party delegates, significantly more than the 1,976 needed to obtain the nomination. However, she will not be officially designated until August 9 and the formal counting of the votes of the delegates.< /p>

Launched in the race the White House only 4 months before the election, it especially became a few days after the withdrawal of Joe Biden – who requested à all Democrats to support her – the natural contender of her camp. Several liberal leaders, seen as potential rivals, have also pledged allegiance to him. It must be said that the express campaign that is coming for she presses her camp &agrav; gather.

Now, Democrats have their eyes on the poll results. And those carried out after the withdrawal of Joe Biden, demonstrate a real dynamic for Kamala Harris. The Quinnipac investigation of July 22 gives it a clear explanation. 47% against 49% for Donald Trump. The Morning Consult survey of July 22 gives voting intentions of around 45% for the d' Democratic and 47% Republican, but significantly higher note: Kamala Harris was six points behind until now, she now has only two.

But the poll trend is clearly in favor of Kamala Harris. Compared to & Joe Biden's candidacy, it does better in all categories of voters: black Americans, Latin Americans, Whasps. She recorded a net gain among male voters and among independent voters. She also gained 7 points among the least educated voters. According to this survey, moreover, Biden's withdrawal seems to have prompted introspection among some Republican voters: 27% believe that Trump should be replaced; as a Republican candidate, a number on the rise.

As a reminder, the American election is played out state by state, each of them giving the candidates a batch of votes by number # 39;intermediary of major readers the outcome of the vote. It is therefore the surveys identified with this scale which are relevant to have a vision on the probable results of this American presidential election. And it's on this ground there's that the Democrats can have some hopes: in the decisive States, the Swing States which can swing the election, Kamala Harris does better than Joe Biden, according to the New York Times. It is particularly given in the lead in the very strategic state of Virginia and is equal in Pennsylvania. Here is the map of Democratic and Republican vote projections, updated daily:

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Kamala Harris favorite among Democrats

Joe Biden's vice-president and running mate for a new term, Kamala Harris, is indeed a natural candidate. If only for questions of financing since the budget planned for Joe Biden's campaign could be transferred to à his running mate, a point which is already being made debate and which the Republicans could try to counter in court. This rapid financial contribution would be a significant advantage because this would not be the case for another candidate, the American press recalled in recent days.

Kamala Harris raised $81 million to fund her campaign between July 21 and 23. This amount only includes small donors, according to her team, who said it was the largest fundraising effort by a candidate in such a short time in American history.

Another asset is the support she has within the party, particularly from its big names like Barack Obama and the Clintons, Bill and Hillary. Their popularity and their possible commitment to her with a displayed support appear to be significant advantages when launching an express campaign.

Her age and her background as many assets

The central question remains: can Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump, with a convinced and even stronger electorate? by the consequences and the combative image displayed after the assassination attempt on July 13 Butler in Pennsylvania? The American billionaire's team has already prepares its weapons against Kamala Harris: management of immigration, results in California where Kamala Harris wasé prosecutor, personality and unflattering nickname (“Laughing Kamala”, to mock her outbursts of laughter, considered as little guarantee of seriousness)… The arguments are already ready.

Conversely, Kamala Harris has several tricks up her sleeve to counter Donald Trump and turn around the campaign. Her personal journey is impressive and the vice-president knows how to recall it. "I am empirical proof of the promise of America", she explains regularly, she"# 39;African-American from a university background who became the first woman to study Being elected prosecutor of San Francisco, before becoming Attorney General of California from 2011 to 2017.

His probité with her pedigree as a prosecutor facing à a Republican candidate already condemned by the courts and still prosecuted in several cases are shaping up to be campaign arguments as his energy has already been demonstrated. demonstrated in the Senate when he appeared as one of the faces of the opposition to… Donald Trump during of the mandate of the Republican magnate.

Her energy but also her youth could end up seducing the Democratic camp. At 59 years old, the possible candidacy of Kamala Harris would send us into oblivion the announced duel between the two Biden-Trump seniors, both over 80 years old. Enough to further mobilize the Democratic electorate ? In polls published in recent days while a possible withdrawal of Joe Biden made it ;eacute;jà the headlines, in the event of a duel between Trump and Kamala Harris, the gap was only two points in favor of the Republican candidate. An insufficient margin for Trump before possible debates and speeches by his possible future adversary.