The results are narrowing and Kamala Harris is losing her lead over Donald Trump less than two weeks before the American presidential campaign. The Democratic candidate is being incisive in remobilizing her electorate and trying to assert herself in the swing states.
Kamala Harris is entering the final stretch of the US presidential campaign and is continuing a fierce fight against Donald Trump ahead of the election scheduled for November 5. But with just two weeks to go before the election, the presidential election result is shaping up to be one of the closest in US history. The Democratic candidate, officially sworn in in August to replace Joe Biden, appears at the top of the national poll results with a few tenths of a point or two points ahead at most according to the compilation of the latest polls carried out by 270towin. A very relative lead that could be reversed by the results of the polls in each state.
The current vice president has to deal with the Republican candidate's many criticisms and attacks, which are not always founded. Donald Trump has repeatedly tried to discredit Kamala Harris on the mental health front by calling her “crazy” and other such attacks. He has also invited these voters to join him and campaign against the Democrat by using filthy terms against her: “You are a shitty vice president, the worst vice president, Kamala, you are fired. “Get out of here, get lost,” he said at a rally in Pennsylvania. But the Democratic candidate is hitting back and attacking Donald Trump on the same ground: she requested a medical report on her rival's health after he made one of hers public. She is reusing the Republican's arguments about old age, even though Donald Trump is now the oldest candidate in the nearly 80 years old when Kamala Harris just celebrated her 60th birthday on Sunday, October 20. In the game of verbal jousting, Kamala Harris proved to be formidable and even won the only debate between the two candidates for the White House.
Since entering the race for the American presidency, Kamala Harris has come out on top in most national polls. A trend that has been reversing since mid-October, just two weeks before the election. The results are more than close in the polls conducted in each state, particularly in the seven “swing states” which are expected to be decisive for the election. According to the American voting system, each state won guarantees a certain number of votes in the 538 electors who vote to elect the American president and the "swing states" capable of switching from one camp to the other over the course of the elections will play a key role.
Kamala Harris held the lead in the polls by state in the majority of swing states with a 0.5 to 4 point lead, but since mid-October the balance has changed and the Democratic candidate has fallen back, giving Donald Trump the opportunity to take the lead. But the results by state have not yet stabilized, with less than a point separating the two candidates in the seven swing states. Here are the ten or so states to follow: Arizona, North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, but also to a lesser extent Florida, New Mexico and Minnesota.
Kamala Harris is basing part of her campaign on selected points from her platform. The Democratic candidate has made defending purchasing power for the middle classes her hobby horse along with abortion rights, always taking care to distinguish herself from Donald Trump's policies. But several political commentators criticize her for remaining on the surface by citing flagship measures without tackling the substance of certain issues.
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Friday October 25. Many American stars have shown their support for Kamala Harris in the presidential election. Yesterday, at the rally in Georgia, rock star Bruce Springsteen, actor Samuel L. Jackson and director Spike Lee took to the stage to call for a vote for Kamala Harris. Well-known stars who reach different targets: Bruce Springsteen can convince an electorate of white men while actor Tyler Perry is popular with black women. Before them, other personalities supported the Democratic candidate: rapper Eminem, rapper Lizzo and singers Usher and Stevie Wonder. The vice-president saw her campaign boosted twice thanks to celebrities: Taylor Swift after the debate against Donald Trump and Charli XCX with the message “Kamala is brat” shortly after her official inauguration.
This Friday, Kamala Harris is set to receive another major endorsement: that of Beyoncé. The American star has already agreed to have her song Freedom used for the Democrat's campaign, a sign of a minimum of support. But the former leader of Destiny's Child should this time stand on stage with Kamala Harris at a rally in Houston, Texas, the swing state where the famous singer is from. Kamala Harris is counting on this new support to give her candidacy a boost. ten days before the election and while the results are more than tight.
Friday October 25.Kamala Harris has been benefiting from Barack Obama's support for her presidential campaign for several weeks. All week, the former White House resident has held a series of rallies in several swing states that are crucial to the outcome of the election. He even made his mark on the campaign by rapping to a song by Eminem, who also gave his support to the Democratic candidate. But the first joint rally between Kamala Harris and Barack Obama was held on Thursday evening in the Atlanta, Georgia region. The two Democrats, friends for 20 years, together took up the slogan of the victorious 2008 campaign: “Yes we can”.
The two Democrats aligned themselves on the same line: praising the qualities of Kamala Harris in the face of purely personal ambition and the danger of a Donald Trump victory. “We don't need four years of an aspiring king, an aspiring dictator,” Barack Obama declared before judging the vice president “ready for the job”: “If you elect Kamala Harris… she will focus on you.” Speaking after Barack Obama, Kamala Harris added: “Anyone who says we should end the Constitution of the United States of America should never again stand behind the seal of the president of the United States of America. Never again. […] The consequences of a [Trump] return are the presidency would be extremely serious.
Thursday October 24.Kamala Harris, who mostly responded to Donald Trump's attacks during the first weeks of her campaign, has changed her strategy in her approach to the American presidential election by being more offensive against her Republican rival. A line she held on Wednesday during a town hall meeting with voters organized by the CNN channel. She openly called Donald Trump a “fascist” believing that Americans do not want a “president of the United States who admires dictators and is a fascist.” A term she took from Republican John Kelly, a former military general and, above all, former chief of staff to Donald Trump at the White House. This former senior officer in the American army judged the Republican candidate to be a fascist, referring to a precise definition of the term that corresponds in every way to the billionaire's policy. During the same speech, John Kelly claimed to have heard the former president say that Nazi dictator Adolf Hitler had “done good things.”
Criticism served on a platter to Kamala Harris. But the vice-presidential candidate for the White House, who has already estimated that her rival was “increasingly unbalanced” and seeking “absolute power”, intends to continue her offensive. She also announced on CNN that “one week before the presidential election, on Tuesday, October 29, she will deliver a “final indictment” against Donald Trump from Washington, more precisely where the Republican addressed his supporters before the assault on the Capitol on January 6, 2021. A staging that takes up the metaphor used by the Democratic camp since the inauguration of Kamala Harris: that of the attorney general against the criminal convicted several times and still accused in different cases including one on a plot against the United States with the famous attack on the Capitol.
Wednesday October 23.The results of the American presidential election are still difficult to predict because the polls are so tight and the question of a possible challenge to the outcome of the vote, particularly on the Republican side, arises. Kamala Harris said that it was “of course possible” that Donald Trump would claim victory before all the votes are counted on November 5. “This is someone who tried to to destroy free and fair elections, that always denies the will of the people, that incited a violent mob to attack the United States Capitol and 140 law enforcement officers were attacked, some of whom were killed,” the vice president of the United States said in an interview with NBC on Tuesday night. She explicitly cites the storming of the Capitol encouraged by by Donald Trump after his defeat against Joe Biden in the 2020 US presidential election and just a few days away from the inauguration of the current President of the United States.
The Democratic camp, which hopes to win, is preparing for a similar act if it wins. But Kamala Harris assures that her team “will take care of election night and the following days as they come, and [that] we have the resources, the expertise and the focus” to “prevent such a scenario from happening again.” For its part, the Republican party has already accused & repeatedly the Democratic camp of trying to rig the elections, without providing tangible evidence to these statements.
Wednesday, October 23.Kamala Harris is trying to remobilize minority communities behind her candidacy. After repeatedly addressing African-American voters, particularly men, some of whom are shifting toward voting for Donald Trump, the vice president wants to send a message to Latino voters for the same reasons. She gave an interview to the Spanish-language American channel Telemundo, which is set to air this Wednesday to detail its economic program and measures that would benefit Latino households. Issues related to purchasing power are paramount for these populations and it is these motivations that push some voters towards the Republican candidate, despite the xenophobic remarks and the migration policy defended by him. But Kamala Harris defended her program and responded to criticism from her rival who called her a “socialist,” a term evoking a form of extreme left in the United States. “I am a capitalist. A pragmatic capitalist,” she retorted in an excerpt from the interview broadcast by Telemundo.
The vice president emphasized her economic plan that aims to “stimulate new industries and develop small business owners, to allow us to increase home ownership, to allow people and their families to create intergenerational wealth.” She assured that these measures will benefit Latinos: “I know that Latino men often have a harder time access the big loans from the big banks because of relationships, factors that aren't necessarily related to their qualifications. So I'm focused on what we can do to bring more capital to community banks that will understand the community and be able to make those types of loans.” “A big part of my program is creating opportunities for people to succeed. I'm very conscious of the impact it could have on Latino men,” she added. in another excerpt.
Tuesday October 22 .Kamala Harris' team is concerned about the vote of a certain Michigan electorate that could swing the outcome of the vote one way or the other: that of the Arab community of Dearborn, near Detroit. The city is the first American locality in which the population is predominantly Arab, composed of Lebanese, Palestinians fleeing the Gaza Strip and the West Bank, Yemenis but also Iraqis and Syrians. These voters are following with interest the evolution of the war in the Middle East, and after having voted overwhelmingly for Joe Biden in 2020, they could favor Donald Trump to “punish” the vice president for the American government's stated and constant support for the Hebrew state. “With nearly 250,000 Arab voters registered in the state of Michigan (out of more than 8 million voters, editor's note), our community is in a position to make him lose the election,” Lebanese lawyer Abed Hammoud estimated in Le Figaro.
The statements of the two main candidates on the war in the Middle East are also likely to weigh in the balance. However, where Kamala Harris called for “ending the war in Gaza, bringing the hostages home and ending the suffering once and for all”, Donald Trump promised to “make peace in the Middle East” without specifying how. Above all, the Democratic candidate did not specify her policy on Israel. Although she had words for the civilian victims, particularly Palestinians, of the Israeli attacks in a more explicit manner than her predecessor, she did not announce a clear break or any concrete change with the current policy.
Tuesday October 22. Kamala Harris campaigned in the “blue wall”, meaning the three swing states where the Democratic camp generally has the advantage, last night. But she didn't just address her supporters; on the contrary, the goal was to appeal to her camp but also to moderate or undecided Republican voters. And for this, she was accompanied by a choice duo: the former Republican and very conservative congresswoman Liz Cheney. During a rally in Wisconsin, the Republican, very critical of Donald Trump, showed her support for Kamala Harris and called on voters on the American right to do like her without fear of possible reprisals: “I would just like to remind people that, if you are worried, you can vote according to your conscience and never have to say a word to them.” whoever it is. Millions of Republicans will do this on November 5th.”
The duo formed by the Democrat and the Republican is somewhat surprising, because while Kamala Harris defends the right to abortion, Liz Cheney is fiercely opposed to the idea of being able to terminate a pregnancy and was delighted with the overturning of the Roe v. Wade decision last year. But the two women agree on another issue: women's health. “I am troubled by the number of women who, as the vice president said, in some cases, have died, and who cannot get the medical care they need because providers are afraid of criminal prosecution,” Liz Cheney said, calling it an “untenable situation” and one that Kamala Harris will be more concerned about. even to act as Donald Trump.
Although Liz Chenez lost her seat in the House of Representatives after opposing Donald Trump, she remains an influential figure among voters, and her words could push voters to to go for Kamala Harris, even if it is only a minority share, it could be enough to make a difference in certain key states.
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