Kamala Harris: polls, support, conventions… The Democrat well placed to become president ?

If Kamala Harris remains slightly behind Donald Trump in the latest polls, she has already gained ground. received the support of more than 500 Democratic delegates while the party has still not made it official. who will replace Joe Biden as candidate à the presidential one.

Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party's recourse ? This is the big question of the coming days: will she be the one to replace Joe Biden in the race & ;agrave; the White House ? After the renunciation of the current American president, Sunday July 21, the party presides eacute;sidé by Jaime Harrisson will have to quickly find another figure to challenge Donald Trump. Joe Biden, for his part, did not let himself the mystery for a very long time. A few minutes after announcing his withdrawal via a message on the support the candidacy of Kamala Harris.

The vice-president must wait for the congress on August 19 to be certain of being designated candidate of the Democrats, but she already benefits from broad support from leaders in her camp. Several democratic personalities, perceived as potential rivals, brought him support. their support. It must be said that the express campaign that is coming for her is pressing her camp   gather.

Obviously, now, the results of the polls on the Trump-Harris confrontation which is preparing. On July 18, CBS News revealed a study showing that in the event of Kamala Harris' candidacy, the Democrat would obtain 48% of the vote. ;nbsp;compared to 51% for Donald Trump. A slight delay at the start a little more than three months before the national election which varies according to the polling institutes. If the Kamala Harris hypothesis came to light, confirmed to represent the Democrats, a recent Ipsos poll places it in terms of him  &equal; perfect with Donald Trump in the polls: 44% each. Please note, these figures are &agrav; take with caution because they were published before Joe Biden withdrew from the race. the White House, this Sunday, July 21, 2024.  

As a reminder, the American election is played out state by state, each of them giving the candidates a batch of votes by number # 39;intermediary of major readers the outcome of the vote. It is therefore the surveys identified with this scale which are relevant to have a vision on the probable results of this American presidential election. And it's on this ground there's that the Democrats can have some hopes: in the decisive States, the Swing States which can swing the election, Kamala Harris does better than Joe Biden, according to the New York Times. It is particularly given in the lead in the very strategic state of Virginia and is equal in Pennsylvania. Here is the map of Democratic and Republican vote projections, updated daily:

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Kamala Harris favorite among Democrats

Joe Biden's vice-president and running mate for a new term, Kamala Harris, is indeed the logical favorite. If only for questions of financing since the budget planned for Joe Biden's campaign could be transferred to à his running mate, a point which is already being made debate and which the Republicans could try to counter in court. This rapid financial contribution would be a significant advantage because this would not be the case for another candidate, the American press recalled in recent days.

Another asset is the support she has within the party, and in particular that of its major figures like Barack Obama or the Clintons, Bill and Hillary. Their popularity and their possible commitment to it with displayed support. promise to be significant advantages when launching an express campaign. The nomination of the future Democratic candidate must be made official and formalized during the next party congress on August 19. Which leaves little time à a possible internal response to organize…

His age and background are so many assets

The central question remains: can Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump, with a convinced and even stronger electorate? by the consequences and the combative image displayed after the assassination attempt on July 13 Butler in Pennsylvania? The American billionaire's team has already prepares its weapons against Kamala Harris: management of immigration, results in California where Kamala Harris wasé prosecutor, personality and unflattering nickname (“Laughing Kamala”, to mock her outbursts of laughter, considered as little sign of seriousness)… The arguments are already ready.

Conversely, Kamala Harris has several tricks up her sleeve to counter Donald Trump and turn around the campaign. Her personal journey is impressive and the vice-president knows how to recall it. "I am empirical proof of the promise of America", she explains regularly, she"# 39;African-American from a university background who became the first woman to study Being elected prosecutor of San Francisco, before becoming Attorney General of California from 2011 to 2017.

His probité with her pedigree as a prosecutor facing à a Republican candidate already condemned by the courts and still prosecuted in several cases are shaping up to be campaign arguments as his energy has already been demonstrated. demonstrated in the Senate when he appeared as one of the faces of the opposition to… Donald Trump during of the mandate of the Republican magnate.

Her energy but also her youth could end up seducing the Democratic camp. At 59 years old, the possible candidacy of Kamala Harris would send us into oblivion the announced duel between the two Biden-Trump seniors, both over 80 years old. Enough to further mobilize the Democratic electorate ? In polls published in recent days while a possible withdrawal of Joe Biden made it ;eacute;jà the headlines, in the event of a duel between Trump and Kamala Harris, the gap was only two points in favor of the Republican candidate. An insufficient margin for Trump before possible debates and speeches by his possible future adversary.