Kamala Harris: The Democratic candidate's 6 assets to win the presidential election

Kamala Harris will be officially sworn in as the Democratic presidential nominee at the Chicago convention that ends on August 22. The party is united behind her, but can the vice president win against Donald Trump??

“When we fight, we win!” Kamala Harris received a new wave of support as the Democratic convention opened in Chicago on Monday, August 19. The vice president, who is set to be formally sworn in as the party's nominee for president after the convention on Thursday, August 22, was not scheduled to speak until the end of the convention, but she was in attendance at Chicago's United Center. The politician said she was “eternally grateful,” towards Joe Biden who formally passed the torch to him in a speech that received a standing ovation and seemed to announce the end of his political career. The American president went so far as to present his withdrawal from the election in favor of Kamala Harris as the “best decision of his career”.

Kamala Harris has given color to the Democratic Party since she appeared as the new candidate for the Democratic Party. the presidential one facing Donald Trump, the choice of his name was obvious in the hours following Joe Biden's withdrawal. Hilary Clinton, Barack Obama and most Democratic heavyweights unite behind his candidacy. And the political party is reconsidering its chances of winning the race. the White House facing à the dynamics of the vice-president in the polls and more broadly in view of her start to the campaign. But Kamala Harris and her running mate, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, must go the distance until the vote on November 5, 2024. The former attorney general of California will succeed- does she à transform the test and & retain the sympathy of voters after the excitement of the beginnings ? She has already several arguments in its favor.

1. The polls are favorable to him

The candidacy of Kamala Harris to replace that of Joe Biden had a blatant effect on the poll results. While the American president was behind his rival Donald Trump, the vice-president took the lead. te in voting intentions in the latest studies published since the end of July. Kamala Harris is once again in the lead against the Republican candidate in the Ipsos study for the Washington Post and ABC News published ; August 18: 49% versus 45% for the share of voters registered to vote.

While this national indicator is telling, it is above all the results of the polls by state that focus the attention of politicians: each state won by a candidate is a guarantee of the support of a certain number of votes out of the more than 500 electors who ultimately vote to elect the American president. Among the 50 American states, some are acquired by one political party or another, but others swing from the right to the left depending on the polls. These are the latter, the “swing states”, which must be won to ensure access to the White House and Kamala Harris appears to be leading several of them in the latest polls: Michigan, Wisconsin, but also Arizona and Pennsylvania, with however a narrow lead over Donald Trump who maintains the advantage in Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina. These trends still have time to evolve, but Kamala Harris must remain ahead in these states if she is to secure a seat at the White House.

2. Her profile is more popular with certain constituencies

Kamala Harris' personal journey is impressive, and the vice president knows how to remind people of it. “I am the empirical proof of the promise of America,” she regularly explains, she the African-American from an academic background who became the first woman to be elected district attorney of San Francisco, before becoming California's attorney general from 2011 to 2016. 2017. As a woman, Kamala Harris is likely to get a better score than Joe Biden, but especially than Donald Trump, with American female voters. The Democrats historically record good scores with this electorate and hope to capitalize more on these votes with their new candidate.

The vice-president is a black and mixed race woman and this profile is up for grabs. even convince the African-American electorate to support the Democratic candidate. African-Americans and other minority communities overwhelmingly support the Democratic camp, and Kamala Harris can bolster that support, here. où Joe Biden was losing ground. Kamala Harris also does better than Joe Biden in all categories of voters according to polling institutes, including African-Americans, Latin-Americans , the WASP (white Anglo-Saxon Protestants). The fact remains that the candidate still has to work for a job. convince the more marked Hispanic voters to right.

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3. His running mate, Tim Walz

If Kamala Harris is a pure Democrat from California who convinces in historically Democratic states, she may have more difficulty convincing in the Midwestern states that lean towards the Republican side or swing from one camp to the other depending on the polls. To win over this electorate, it is her running mate Tim Walz who could be a good asset. Governor of Minnesota, the politician is so popular in the Midwest that he was appointed to in place of Josh Shapiro, another popular Democrat in this region of the United States. The vice presidential candidate also helps to balance things out and reassure the male electorate as a white man alongside a black female candidate.

4. His presidential platform

The outcome of the American presidential election will also depend, in part, on the candidates' programs. On this point, Kamala Harris insists on her difference with Donald Trump by having made the right to abortion one of her priorities from the start of her campaign, facing a Republican camp at the origin of the tightening of access to abortion in several states. The vice-president also invested in the subject of the environment to distinguish herself from her rival who broke with the Paris agreements during his first term.

Economic measures could also be crucial and Kamala Harris has already outlined her program concerning this aspect on Friday August 16 during a trip to North Carolina: she said she wanted to work “to give money back to middle and working class families” while Donald Trump “fights for billionaires and big business”. The Democratic candidate promises to defend purchasing power, create new housing and offer financial assistance for a first home purchase or a birth tax credit. A speech that is aimed at the middle and working classes that she must convince, especially undecided voters. These economic measures could perhaps swing some moderate Republican voters to her camp. The vice president also has a shot at play on the fight against crime, a subject dear to the Republican middle class. The one who has already shown herself to be firm on these subjects as prosecutor of California, her policy had even earned her to be judged too hard by some Democratic comrades. This time this could earn her additional support. She should however play the tightrope walker on immigration, subjects of the most divisive between the left and the right.

5. Her clean criminal record

Facing Donald Trump, Kamala Harris is organizing the duel between the prosecutor and the criminal: she has been one of the faces of justice in San Francisco and California, while Donald Trump is the only former president and candidate for the White House found guilty in a criminal case, and on 34 counts. Note that other trials await Donald Trump. The Democratic vice president made this parallel between herself and her rival from the start, also recalling the storming of the Capitol after the Republican's defeat in the 2020 presidential election. “Donald Trump openly promised that, if re-elected, he would be a dictator from day one, that he would use the Justice system against his political enemies (…) and even that he would, I quote, “repeal the Constitution” she said. during a meeting in Wisconsin in early August.

6. His âage

It was concerns about her health and age that prompted Joe Biden to step down in favor of Kamala Harris. At 59, the vice president is in fact the youngest candidate for the American presidency, facing Donald Trump, who is 78. At 20 years younger, the Democrat can turn the arguments used by the billionaire against Joe Biden against him. According to some polls, Biden's withdrawal has prompted some introspection among some Republican voters: 27% believe Trump should be replaced as the Republican candidate, a figure that is on the rise.

Donald Trump's counterattack against Kamala Harris

While Kamala Harris has a better chance of winning than Joe Biden, against Donald Trump, a victory in the American presidential election is far from guaranteed. Her lead in the polls is still catchable, especially in the two months before the election. Donald Trump, hoping to regain the advantage, has already brought out the big guns to discredit his new rival, who is making the battle more complicated. The Republican attacks the vice president's record on immigration, which she was in charge of, and especially her record as California's attorney general, on which he considers her lax. The goal is clear: to keep every single Republican vote and discourage undecided voters from choosing the Democratic candidate.

Donald Trump also has no qualms about &rough his rival on very subjective arguments. He has already given her an unflattering nickname,  "Laughing Kamala", to rally her  bursts of laughter considered as not a sign of seriousness. In addition to his arguments, the Republican candidate does not hesitate to spreading misinformation through artificial intelligence-generated images to discredit Kamala Harris and Tim Walz. The battle is already raging.