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Kamala Harris: Tight Poll Results… Possible Breakthrough to Win Presidential Election ?

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Kamala Harris is in her final days of campaigning with the presidential election on November 5 and is banking on the swing states that will be decisive for the vote. The Democrat hopes to remobilize her male electorate, the Latino vote and moderate Republicans and could be helped by Donald Trump's statements.

Only a few days left before the presidential election and the poll results are still so tight between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, to the point that neither candidate seems to have the advantage. It is indeed in the seven swing states that victory will be decided and the Democratic candidate is crisscrossing these states for the last days of the campaign in order to attract as many votes as possible. She is of course looking to remobilize the Democratic electorate, especially Latino and African-American men who may come back to her after the racist statements of Donald Trump and his camp. But she also wants to convince the moderate Republican electorate or those disappointed by the former president and for this she has received the help or support of several Republican figures such as Liz Cheney, Barbara Bush or Arnold Schwarzenegger. More broadly, several celebrities have supported Kamala Harris, but will that be enough in addition to the program to convince ?

The other way to convince the electorate is to distinguish yourself from Donald Trump, something that Kamala Harris did throughout her campaign and up until her last major rally on October 29 in Washington, where in 2021 Donald Trump had encouraged his supporters to march on the Capitol. Calling her rival a “budding dictator” in “seeking absolute power” and fueling her own ambitions, she then recalled that she wanted to work for all Americans. The Democrat also responded to her rival's criticisms, rarely founded, about her intellectual capacities, showing herself to be an adversary up to the task in verbal jousts, to the point of winning the only debate that pitted the two contenders against each other for the White House.

Since entering the race for the American presidency, Kamala Harris has come out on top in most national polls. A trend that has been reversing since mid-October, just two weeks before the election. The results are more than close in the polls conducted in each state, particularly in the seven “swing states” which are expected to be decisive for the election. According to the American voting system, each state won guarantees a certain number of votes in the 538 electors who vote to elect the American president and the "swing states" capable of switching from one camp to the other over the course of the elections will play a key role.

Kamala Harris held the lead in the polls by state in the majority of swing states with a 0.5 to 4 point lead, but since mid-October the balance has changed and the Democratic candidate has fallen back, giving Donald Trump the opportunity to take the lead. But the results by state have not yet stabilized, with less than a point separating the two candidates in the seven swing states. Here are the ten or so states to follow: Arizona, North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, but also to a lesser extent Florida, New Mexico and Minnesota.

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Kamala Harris warns that a Donald Trump victory will mean the end of Obamacare

Thursday October 31. Kamala Harris stressed access to health care during her campaign in Wisconsin on Thursday as the Republican camp announced a major reform of the Affordable Care Act, better known as Obamacara, because it was implemented during Barack Obama's first term. “What this would mean for the American people would be that insurance companies could go back to a time when they refused to give you health insurance coverage because of pre-existing conditions. Pre-existing conditions, such as surviving breast cancer, asthma or diabetes,” Harris said. The vice president added: “Access to health care should be a right, not just a privilege for those who can afford it.”

The Democratic candidate assures that one of the stakes of the election is to know whether Obamacara will continue or not, specifying that with her the health system would continue while it would be eliminated with Donald Trump. “This has been part of Donald Trump's program for a very long time. He has made dozens of attempts to get rid of the Affordable Care Act, and now we have further confirmation of that agenda from his supporter, the Speaker of the House of Representatives.”

Kamala Harris' Strategy to Reclaim the Latino Vote

Thursday October 31. While the Latin American community usually votes for the Democratic camp, Kamala Harris has lost the support of the male half of this electorate, who seem to be attracted to Donald Trump and perhaps put off by the idea of ​​putting a woman at the head of the country. But the Democratic candidate could see this electorate come back to her after the racist statement of a Donald Trump supporter at a rally in New York last Sunday, comparing Puerto Rico to a “floating island of garbage”. Since a significant portion of Latin Americans are from Puerto Rico, the latter could turn away from Donald Trump. Signals in this direction have already been observed with the withdrawal of the support of the singer Nicky Jam for the Republican candidate in solidarity with the people of Puerto Rico. Kamala Harris here, would benefit more from the mistakes of her rival than from a strategy put in place by her camp.

But if Kamala Harris hopes that this departure from the Trump camp will serve her, she is also seeking to convince Latino voters, especially men, by appearing with personalities from the Latin American community – the influence of celebrities in the vote is no longer to be proven in the United States. The vice-president has already received the support of Ricky Martin, Marc Anthony, the reggaeton star Don Omar, the singer of “Despacito” Luis Fonsi and global superstar Bad Bunny, who are all of Puerto Rican origin. And this Thursday evening, Kamala Harris will be accompanied by star Jennifer Lopez on the stage of her rally in Las Vegas, Nevada. Circumstances that could indeed allow the Democrats to recover the Latino vote, which represents hundreds of thousands of votes in some swing states, notably Pennsylvania, which has 19 electorate seats and is shaping up to be one of the territories that could swing the outcome of the American presidential election.

Schwarzenegger and Bush support Harris

Wednesday October 30.Kamala Harris continues to see figures from the Republican camp line up behind her candidacy a few days before the presidential election on November 5. The vice-president, who is seeking to convince moderate Republican voters and/or those opposed to Donald Trump, therefore benefits from a choice help with these additional endorsements. Supporters among whom are the movie star Arnold Schwarzenegger, a personality who can sway voters because of his former tenure as Republican governor of California, the same state where Kamala Harris served as attorney general. The former governor has distanced himself from politics and now says he “hates” it, but he says he hates Donald Trump and what he represents even more, to the point of endorsing the Democratic candidate. “To say that America is a trash can for the world is so unpatriotic that it makes me furious.” And I will always be an American before I am a Republican. That is why this week I am voting for Kamala Harris and Tim Walz,” he said in a message on X.

But another personality has announced that she will vote for Kamala Harris, she has even campaigned for the Democratic candidate: Barbara Bush, the daughter of former American President and Republican George W. Bush. This member of the Bush clan claims to be “independent” but chooses to support the Democratic camp which, she hopes, “will advance our country and protect women's rights” as she indicated to People magazine. Barbara Bush's father, who has distanced himself from politics, has not shown his support for any candidate. However, in addition to his daughter, his former vice president, also a Republican, Dick Cheney, has also given his support to Kamala Harris. The latter's daughter, Liz Cheney, also a Republican, has taken the same path and participated in rallies with Kamala Harris.

A final big rally and attacks on the shovel against Trump

Wednesday 30 October.Kamala Harris's last major campaign rally appears to have been a success. The candidate spoke to a crowd of 75,000, according to her campaign team's count, on Tuesday night from the National Mall in Washington DC. A highly symbolic venue: the Democrat spoke with the White House behind her back, hinting at her possible upcoming election, but she also spoke at the very spot where Donald Trump had encouraged his supporters to march on the Capitol in 2021. A same place to emphasize the contrast between her and him, as she did throughout her speech. “If elected, Donald Trump would walk into his office on his first day with a list of enemies. Once elected, I will walk into his office with a to-do list, full of priorities, for the American people,” she told the crowd.

Although she returned to the salient measures of her program, the event was above all an opportunity to galvanize the troops and convince the last undecided and for that the warnings against the personality and the projects of Donald Trump were her main arguments. The vice-president described her rival as a “budding dictator” and a “petty tyrant” and judged the man to be “unstable, obsessed by revenge, consumed by resentment and in search of unlimited power.” seeking to feed her own interests and divide America when she would be a head of state serving the American people and seeking compromise. Believing that a Donald Trump victory would lead to “chaos and division”, she recalled that “it does not have to be this way”, urging voters to vote for her.

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The “final plea” and highly anticipated by Kamala Harris

Tuesday 29 October.With exactly one week to go until “election day” for the American presidential election, Kamala Harris is heading to Washington DC where she is due to deliver her final major campaign speech. The location of the meeting is not chosen at random: it is Ellipse Park, just a few meters from the White House, which could be visible in the background during Kamala Harris' speech to suggest her move to the Oval Office if she wins. It is also the location from which Donald Trump spoke on January 6, 2021 to encourage his supporters to marching on the Capitol after contesting Joe Biden's victory in the last presidential election. This speaks volumes about the Democratic candidate's ambition with this speech: to convince American voters to elect her to the highest office of the United States and to remind or warn them of the danger that Donald Trump represents in their eyes.

In this speech presented as a “final plea” by her campaign teams, in reference to her career as a prosecutor, Kamala Harris must take advantage of this opportunity to unfold her flagship measures once again and last, in particular those related to the economy, the main concern of Americans. This speech is also one of the last opportunities for Kamala Harris to convince the undecided or those called “conflicted voters” who are worried about the consequences of a Donald Trump victory without being sure of voting for the Democrat, CNN analysis.

Kamala Harris campaigning in 6 states for the last week

Monday 28 October. The Democratic presidential candidate is throwing her last forces into the battle for the final week of the campaign. On the agenda: trips to six states, including five swing states that will be decisive for the outcome of the election.

  • Monday: Kamala Harris will participate in campaign events in three Michigan counties.
  • Tuesday: She will return to Washington DC to speak and deliver his famous “final indictment” against Donald Trump.
  • Wednesday: The Democrat will visit three different states, all swing states: North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin
  • Thursday: The vice president will head west, visiting Arizona for a campaign event and Nevada for two more rallies.

Harris lists her administration's three priorities if she wins

Monday, October 28.Kamala Harris made clear what her priorities would be if she won the U.S. presidential election on November 5 during an interview broadcast on CBS News on Monday. According to CNN, this is the clearest answer the Democratic candidate has given about her political plans since the start of the campaign, even though the subject has been broached several times. Kamala Harris therefore declared: that she would work to pass a “cost-cutting package of legislation.” “On housing, on small business, on the child tax credit… it's all about putting more money in the hands of working Americans, but also cutting taxes for the middle class,” she said.

The American vice president also cited two other priorities: access to health and the right to abortion, as well as immigration. Regarding the first area of ​​work, she estimated on CBS that “the priority will be to work on reproductive health and to restore the freedoms and rights that everyone should have, and that women should have, over their own bodies.” A measure that Kamala Harris has been defending since the beginning of her campaign. On immigration, she acknowledges that it needs to be addressed, “particularly border security,” and that we need to “bring back this bipartisan bill that Donald Trump killed, so that we can get more resources to the border.”

While Kamala Harris provides a clear list of priorities, she does not specify what measures could be implemented to achieve the goals set. Her response is, however, more satisfactory than the one given last week during the town hall organized by CNN, during which she indicated that she did not have just one goal and that she was ready to work with the parties “to address a number of issues”.

These Republican voters who will choose Kamala Harris

Monday 28 October.Kamala Harris has been trying for several weeks to rally Republican voters behind her candidacy for the American presidential election. And the vice-president could indeed count on the support of former Republican voters, according to various testimonies, some of which were relayed by Franceinfo. A vote that would however be more disappointed by the disappointment or anger aroused by Donald Trump than by the persuasive power of Kamala Harris. Several supporters of the Republican camp have indicated to the French media that they want to vote for the opposing camp, but for different reasons. One of them, originally from Alabama and describing himself as coming from “a Republican family, a background, a region, a Republican lifestyle” and living “like a true conservative” believes that Donald Trump has “let down” Republican principles and values: “In matters of foreign policy, economics and trade. He is not a conservative, he is not a Republican.”

For another American woman from New York State, it was the xenophobia and racism expressed in Donald Trump's policies or visible among his supporters that turned her away from voting for the Republican billionaire. “I'm going to vote for Kamala Harris. I have to be honest: I don't know if I trust her 100%. But I certainly don't trust Donald Trump,” she said. Still others are turning away from Donald Trump because of the storming of the Capitol in January 2021 after the Republican's defeat by Joe Biden. An unacceptable gesture even for fervent defenders of the Republican camp like this former veteran who cannot tolerate any threat to the American Constitution: “I have taken an oath to support the Constitution of the United States, as a non-commissioned officer, against all enemies, foreign and domestic. Trump, on January 6, showed that he was a “threat to my Constitution,” he said.

Donald Trump, and more broadly the Make America Great Again (MAGA) branch, is pushing moderate Republican voters and others to refuse to support the billionaire and even the party. Going so far as to prefer to vote for Kamala Harris and the Democratic camp with whom they have deep disagreements on certain progressive measures, such as the relationship to abortion or immigration. An evil that risks weakening the Republican camp, but on which Kamala Harris must capitalize if she wants to win the presidency.

A whole bunch of stars behind Kamala Harris.. Up to Beyoncé

Friday October 25. Many American stars have shown their support for Kamala Harris in the presidential election. Yesterday, at the rally in Georgia, rock star Bruce Springsteen, actor Samuel L. Jackson and director Spike Lee took to the stage to call for a vote for Kamala Harris. Well-known stars who reach different targets: Bruce Springsteen can convince an electorate of white men while actor Tyler Perry is popular with black women. Before them, other personalities supported the Democratic candidate: rapper Eminem, rapper Lizzo and singers Usher and Stevie Wonder. The vice-president saw her campaign boosted twice thanks to celebrities: Taylor Swift after the debate against Donald Trump and Charli XCX with the message “Kamala is brat” shortly after her official inauguration.

This Friday, Kamala Harris is set to receive another major endorsement: that of Beyoncé. The American star has already agreed to have her song Freedom used for the Democrat's campaign, a sign of a minimum of support. But the former leader of Destiny's Child should this time stand on stage with Kamala Harris at a rally in Houston, Texas, the swing state where the famous singer is from. Kamala Harris is counting on this new support to give her candidacy a boost. ten days before the election and while the results are more than tight.

First joint meeting between Kamala Harris and Barack Obama

Friday October 25.Kamala Harris has been benefiting from Barack Obama's support for her presidential campaign for several weeks. All week, the former White House resident has held a series of rallies in several swing states that are crucial to the outcome of the election. He even made his mark on the campaign by rapping to a song by Eminem, who also gave his support to the Democratic candidate. But the first joint rally between Kamala Harris and Barack Obama was held on Thursday evening in the Atlanta, Georgia region. The two Democrats, friends for 20 years, together took up the slogan of the victorious 2008 campaign: “Yes we can”.

The two Democrats aligned themselves on the same line: praising the qualities of Kamala Harris in the face of purely personal ambition and the danger of a Donald Trump victory. “We don't need four years of an aspiring king, an aspiring dictator,” declared Barack Obama before judging vice president 'ready for the job': 'If you elect Kamala Harris…she's going to focus on you.' Speaking after Barack Obama, Harris chimed in: 'Anyone who says we should end the Constitution of the United States of America should never again stand behind the seal of the president of the United States of America. Never again.' […] The consequences of a return [of Trump] à the presidency would be extremely serious.

Teilor Stone

Teilor Stone has been a reporter on the news desk since 2013. Before that she wrote about young adolescence and family dynamics for Styles and was the legal affairs correspondent for the Metro desk. Before joining Thesaxon , Teilor Stone worked as a staff writer at the Village Voice and a freelancer for Newsday, The Wall Street Journal, GQ and Mirabella. To get in touch, contact me through my teilor@nizhtimes.com 1-800-268-7116

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