06:17 – A short campaign
Last June 9, on the evening of the results of the European elections and when the presidential party had to be content with second place, far behind the Rally national, Emmanuel Macron took the political world and the French by surprise by announcing the dissolution of the National Assembly. Thus, for this ballot of early legislative elections, 4,011 candidates are on the starting line. Security, purchasing power, retirement, immigration,… the candidates only had 21 days to try to convince voters during a blitzkrieg.
06:13 – Some French people have already started fighting. voted
If the majority of French people are preparing to move on, go to the polls this Sunday, June 30 for these early legislative elections, others have already decided. started &agrav; voting since Saturday. Indeed, voters from several overseas departments and communities have been going to the polls since Saturday, like residents of Guadeloupe, Guyana, Martinique, French Polynesia, Saint-Barthélemy, San Marino, Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon, or for readers who reside on the American continent and in the Caribbean.
06:00 – Legislative elections begin this Sunday in France
Hello and welcome to this live dedicated to in the first round of the 2024 legislative elections. Polling day will begin at 8 hours in mainland France with the opening of polling stations. Pollsters and politicians expect more a very sharp increase in participation compared to the 2022 legislative elections, for which 47.51% of voters came to the polls. s. This time, participation could reach or even exceed two-thirds of the approximately 49 million registered.
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Emmanuel Macron announced the dissolution of the National Assembly just minutes after the publication of the first estimates of the results of the European elections on Sunday, June 9. A “serious, heavy” decision taken in light of the National Rally's overwhelming victory in the European elections. “I trust the French people to make the fairest choice for themselves and for future generations. “I have heard your message, your concerns, and I will not leave them unanswered,” declared the President of the Republic. With this decision, and the call for Article 12 of the Constitution of the 5th Republic, Emmanuel Macron has de facto acted on the organization of early legislative elections aimed at forming a new National Assembly.
The French are therefore called to vote in new legislative elections this Sunday, June 30 for the first round, followed by the second round a week later, on Sunday, July 7, 2024. Dates that arrive less than three weeks after the announcement by the Head of State. Why so early ? Well because in addition to the 20 to 40 day period provided for by the Constitution in the event of dissolution, the agenda for the coming months is loaded especially with the start of the Olympic Games on July 26 and the arrival of school holidays, which limited the options for organizing the polls.
From the day after the announcement of the dissolution of the National Assembly and the elections organization the ;legislative, the different parties have entered into the campaign, which will be express with &àgrave; barely three weeks between the announcement and the ballot. The submission of applications has been completed. on Sunday June 16, to allow à the official campaign to begin on Monday June 17 and respect the two weeks of campaigning before an election.
For these 2024 legislative elections, the left has beené the first to call a union and even à the formation of a "new popular front" from June 10. After several days of discussions, the four left-wing forces found their solution. an agreement to present only one single candidate in the 577 constituencies in the first round. According to this agreement LFI will present 229 candidates, the PS will have 175, EELV will have 92 and the PCF will have 50.
On the right, alliances have also been added. announced, but with turmoil. The president of the Les Républicains party, Eric Ciotti, proposed an alliance with the National Rally, which showed itself to be very supportive. inclined &agrav; a rapprochement. But the majority LR members opposed the move this agreement and demanded the dismissal of Eric Ciotti. The LR candidates allied with the RN will ultimately be 62 during the first round. The Zemmourist Reconquˆte party also attempted to to get closer to the RN via Marion Maréchal, but the Lepéist party refused to do so. any alliance. Eric Zemmour announced Only 330 candidates out of 577 constituencies.
Face &agrav; these two alliances in formation, the majorityé presidential office reacted. Emmanuel Macron sought to &agrav; expand its majority to the forces he considers to be part of the "Republican arc", notably the reactive socialist left & agrave; the alliance with LFI and the right of the Republicans rejecting the agreement with the RN. But apart from a few local agreements and a few “reserved” constituencies the republican arc, in other words where the Macronists did not nominate a candidate to leave their chances at risk. the left and &agrav; the traditional right, the contours of the majority remain confined to the Renaissance party and its allies (Horizons, Modem, UDI and central candidates).
The first polls on the results of the 2024 legislative elections have started. &agrav; be published the day after the announcement of the dissolution of the National Assembly. Until'à At the end of the campaign, the studies gave the advantage in the National Rally with more than 30% of voting intentions and up to 30% of voting intentions. 36 or 37% in the last days before the first round. The Union of the Left comes in second position in voting intentions with a little over 20% and the majority of votes. presidential vote is only given in third position below the 20% mark. The same studies therefore logically grant more seats to the RN in the second round.
According to studies from different institutes, the RN would become the majority group with 250 to 250 members. 300 seats depending on the scenarios (compared to 89 currently). The left alliance would form the second force with 150 to 150 troops. 190 seats (compared to 153) and the majority group presidential election would lose power with 90% 130 seats (compared to 249). The Republicans would move on to 30 or 40 seats (compared to 74).