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“Result of the 2024 legislative elections, live: facing the RN, a Macron barrier – NFP ?”
The results of the first round of legislative elections place the RN in a position to succeed. to obtain a majority absolute. The left called for at the “dam”, the head of state also wants withdrawals to help left-wing candidates win in the second round.
►Find your municipality or constituency to consult the legislative results: The essentials
The r&eac;result of the first round of legislative legislation, which took place this Sunday, June 30, gives the RN and its allies s in the lead, in the capacity to to obtain more than 289 ages, that is to say the majority absolute in the future National Assembly. Here is the official result revealedé by the Ministry of the Interior:
The far right is able to to obtain a majority absolute, but it is more likely according to pollsters that the RN and its Ciottist allies form the first group of deputies without having the 289 necessary seats. The election will be played out in the approximately 300 triangulars of the 2nd round with three candidates, with the withdrawal or otherwise of the candidates who came third. ;me position, to block or not à far right.
Dams against the RN in the 2nd round being possible in more than 150 constituencies, the most likely scenario is that no political group obtains a majority. and that Emmanuel Macron and his party are seeking a "technical" coalition. for expanded governance for 3 years, with elected officials from the left, center and right.
The left has fixedé one line: the NFP candidates will be withdrawn in the event of a third position and the left calls either for vote for the opponent of the RN either vote blank or invalid, to advantage the candidate against à far right.
Emmanuel Macron attempts a new political coup with a new turnaround on the NFP. He agreed with the Prime Minister so that the candidates of their parties would withdraw in the constituencies where there were fewer candidates. they arrived in third position and in which the left is in front. As BFMTV indicates, this will be the case even in constituencies where there are many people. LFI candidates present themselves if they have not made radical remarks or defended an "extremist" line; or "community". The president's advisors passed through a good part of the night à sift through the applications to rule out any support for an LFI candidate considered to be a candidate. as politically unacceptable. This Monday, a new strategic meeting takes place in Paris. l'Elysée to record the withdrawals and explain the strategy with the right elements of language.
The Republicans (independent of the RN) are abstaining from instructions to vote for the 2nd round, details must be provided during the day.
Among the significant results of these legislative measures, we note the victory in the first round of Marine Le Pen and Olivier Faure. François Hollande is in a favorable ballot in Corrèze, like Elisabeth Borne, who could be elected thanks to the withdrawal of the candidate from left. Laurent Wauquiez is also on a favorable ballot in Haute-Loire, François Ruffin is when à him in difficulty in the Somme. Former minister Clément Beaune wasé beaten by the socialist Emmanuel Grégoire, éelected in the first round to Paris. The boss of the PCF, Fabien Roussel, is also eliminated. from the first round, just like former minister Jérôme Cahuzac.
Here is what pollster Ipsos Talan for France 2 anticipates as the results of the 2nd round of legislative elections, this Sunday July 7. The numbers of seats by party and by political union (NFP, RN, Ens!) are given here. The majority absolute is &agrav; 289 deputies. These estimates will be refined with the results of voting intentions until the end of the year. Friday July 5.
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After Gabriel Attal called the candidates from the presidential camp qualified in third position to withdraw to block the National Rally, Bruno Le Maire called for &agrav; do not vote for members of La France insoumise. A statement that sparked a reaction within his camp. Yaël Braun-Pivet indicatedé that it was necessary on a 'case by case' basis, just like Senator Xavier Iacovelli, who declared on BFMTV that he did not "understand Bruno Le Maire's position."
The New Popular Front has been clear about its strategy. From Jean-Luc Mélenchon to Marine Tondelier, including Olivier Faure, all have called on their candidates to withdraw in constituencies where their candidate would end up in third place in favor of the candidate facing the National Rally.
This position was é more nuanced within the presidential camp. If Gabriel Attal mentioned the "moral duty to prevent the National Rally from having a majority absolute", this Sunday. Bruno Le Maire, for his part, called on &agrav; do not vote for a candidate La France insoumise. A position not shared by Yaël Braun-Pivet in particular, who indicatedé do "case by case" concerning the Rebels.
If the election is above all national, the results of legislative elections must be observed locally. Beyond results in each constituency, those which also emerge in each constituency give valuable lessons on the political landscape in France in 2024. Find your constituency in the map below to consult the details of the results:
< li>1st constituency of Alpes-de-Haute-Provence
< li>1st district of Hautes-Alpes
< li>2nd constituency of Ariège
< li>5th constituency of Hérault
< li>3rd constituency of Isère
< li>2nd constituency of Meuse
< li>2nd constituency of Pas-de-Calais
< li>3rd constituency of Var
From the results of the first round of the legislative elections which have the National Rally arriving in first position, & is allied to with the RN and arrived leading in his constituency called for LR candidates à "join her to save France". "The far left is more than ever a threat to the Republic", he said.
In a publication on the social network that he was ready to take action. discuss with Jean-Luc Mélenchon: "After this first round, two choices are available to the French. Or the alliance of the worst and the extreme left in power. Or the National Union, the Republic and its values."
At the RTL microphone, Jean-Pierre Raffarin affirmed that that "the France of humanist parties has exploded&eac;" during the first round of legislative elections. He placed himself on the same lines as Douard Philippe or Bruno Le Maire for the candidates from the Macronist camp: "The far left is a r& This is a problem for society. French, it is out of the question that an LR will vote LFI, but there is no problem with a socialist or an “ecologist”.
The éelections& French legislation is making people talk about the other side. of the Pyrenees. On a Spanish radio, Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez said he had "hope in the mobilization of the French leftç". He estimated that it was necessary to govern "like Spain has been doing for six years" to beat the far right, by banking on progressive policies, on progressive governments which demonstrate, as the Spanish government does, that lies and fake news can &be deconstructed".
Marine Tondelier curtly responded to Bruno Le Maire, who calledé the candidates of the presidential camp do not vote for a candidate from La France Insoumise. She denounced on France Inter "cowardly and privileged behavior". “They chose dishonor, they will have dishonor and defeat,” she added.
Bruno Le Maire called for voting for a candidate from the social-democratic camp (PS-PC-Les Verts), but in no way for LFI, in the event of the non-presence of a candidate from the presidential camp in the second round. A position not entirely shared by Yaël Braun-Pivet on BFMTV: “The vast majority of the (left) bloc is republican and we can call for voting for them and that is what I do for the socialists, ecologists and communists. Within La France insoumise, I make the distinction, on a case-by-case basis. I do not view Caroline Fiat and David Guiraud, who defends anti-Semitic theories, in the same way.”
In view of the second round of the legislative elections, the Minister of the Economy, Bruno Le Maire, called for voting “for a candidate from the social-democratic camp”, that is to say “a representative of the Socialist Party, the Communist Party or the Greens”, but which does not include LFI. “I am not voting for France Insoumise because it has taken positions against the French nation. It's communitarianism, it's anti-Semitism, it's violence (…) and I don't want “that for France”, he justified.
On RTL, the coordinator of La France insoumise, Manuel Bompard, hammered home that in the event of a triangular in the second round, in the constituencies where the RN would have arrived at the head and LFI third, the latter will withdraw "unconditionally". "Our slogan is not one vote, not one more seat for the National Rally,” he said.< /p>
The Minister Delegateé charged of Europe Jean-Noël Barrot, affirmed, on franceinfo, that there "will be withdrawals" in the presidential camp, and some “in favor of LFI”. "We want to block the RN", he specified, like the position given by Emmanuel Macron and Gabriel Attal this Sunday.
There were 24 members of the government at the time. to present themselves in the first of the legislative elections. The Prime Minister, Gabriel Attal, arrived in the lead in the 10th constituency of Hauts-de-Seine with 44% of the vote. His Minister of the Interior, G&rald Darmanin, did the same, obtaining 36.03% of the votes in the 10th constituency of the North. The Minister of Foreign Affairs, St&phane Séjourn&eac;, arrived in the lead in the 9th constituency of Hauts-de-Seine with 46.07% of the votes.
Among other members of the government:
– Prisca Thevenot in the lead in the 8th constituency of Hauts-de-Seine (39.91%)
– Aurore Bergé in the lead in the 10th constituency of Yvelines (33.59%)
– Olivia Grégoire in the lead in the 12th district of Paris (39.36%)
– Stanislas Guerini second in the 3rd district of Paris (33.99%)
– Marc Fesneau second in the 1st constituency of Loir-et-Cher (34.56%)
– Agnès Pannier-Runacher second in the 2nd constituency of Pas-de-Calais (21.54%)
Former president François Hollande, back in politics, arrived in Paris. at the head of the first round of legislative elections in his constituency of Corrèze with 37.63% of the votes. He was ahead of the RN candidate Maïtey Pougey (30.89%), and the Republican Francis Dubois (28.64%). The latter indicated; that he maintained his position, and to justify: "We are the only right capable of beating François Hollande". This decision comes as the party has decided to not to "stand in the way" at the National Rally in the second round of legislative elections.
In a speech on Sunday evening, the Prime Minister, Gabriel Attal, calledé &agrav; unite against the National Rally: "Our objective is clear: prevent the National Rally from having a majorityé absolute in the second round and, therefore, to govern the country with the disastrous project which is his. This will involve the withdrawal of our candidates whose retention in third position would result in the election of a deputy. of the National Rally facing à another candidate who defends, like us, the values of the Republic.
Earlier in the evening it was Jean-Luc Mélenchon who indicated the La France insoumise candidates who came in third place would withdraw to the constituencies where the National Rally has arrived; in head.
A new "Republican front" against the far right seems to be taking shape this morning. We note, for example, this morning the withdrawal of the Minister Delegate for Overseas Territories Marie Guévenoux, who is withdrawing her candidacy for the 2nd round in the 9th constituency of Essonne. She came third in the first round, with 27.11% of the votes, behind the New Popular Front candidate, Julie Ozenne (37.6%). and RN Paul-Henri Merrien (29.96%). “The risk represented by a victory for the National Rally, especially with a majority” absolute, is great,” she wrote on X, emphasizing that she personally finds herself “without any prospect of victory.” "We must do everything to win the candidates from the Republican arc who are able to win next Sunday", she said, therefore integrating the left of the NFP in the Republican arc.
After the 1st round of the legislative elections, 76 candidates were elected ;jà été éelected. 39 come from the National Rally, like Marine Le Pen, SéSébastien Chenu or Julien Odoul; 32 candidates from the New Popular Front were elected. éelected in the first round, é the image of Olivier Faure, Sandrine Rousseau, or Mathilde Panot; two for the presidential camp (Mikaele Seo and Pierre Cazeneuve); a Republican (Philippe Juvin); a miscellaneous right-winger (Estelle Youssouffa), and a center-right autonomist not included; (Moerani Frébault).
In a letter, Monday July 1st in the morning, Jordan Bardella calledé the French çais à choose in the second round between “the agents of chaos, transformed into a new popular front”, or “the architects of the upsurge, the patriotic candidates of the Union national that (he has) the honor of driving, BFMTV reported. And add: "This Sunday, July 7, you can choose a responsible breakup."
If the strong participation of the French in the first round of the legislative elections favored the establishment of triangular (three candidates) for the second round, five constituencies could see four candidates confront each other. This is the case of the 8th constituency of Finistère, the 4th constituency of Vendée, the 8th constituency of Rhône, the 5th constituency of Saée; ocirc;ne-et-Loire, and the 1st constituency of Val-de-Marne.
As La Tribune indicated last night on Sunday, the executives of the macronie are at risk. both disconcerted by the electoral defeat in the first round and by the one which seems to happen on Sunday, but is reassured by keeping in mind that the ;results were better than predicted by polls. While there is no doubt that the political groups supporting the president will no longer be able to form a government, there remains a possible scenario: that the RN is prevented from taking over. to have a majority and that there remains a social democratic line on which coalition and circumstantial majorities can be established. This Monday, a meeting is organized at the Elysée to set the framework for the 2nd round campaign.
The Ministry of the Interior revealed the final results of the 1st round of the 2024 legislative elections early this Monday morning. The RN confirms its favorable position at the national level, a few points ahead of the left thanks to à his allies from the LR branch who followed Eric Ciotti.
According to the latest Ipsos estimates, we must count on nearly 300 triangulars on Sunday July 7 for the 2nd round of the legislative elections. We now know that the New Popular Front is 3rd in 105 constituencies, and the Ensemble candidates are 3rd in 78 constituencies. Which means that the left is distancing itself this evening from 105 legislative elections and that it is undoubtedly necessary to ;apos;wait à a few dozen withdrawals from Ensemble! to lose the RN. For withdrawals from Ensemble, you will have to wait for the list made on a case-by-case basis.
Gabriel Attal finally changed; of your last night. And we know more about the line set by the majority. presidential and for the Together candidates: no vote must go to the RN and the Together 3rd candidates in a triangular will withdraw in the constituencies where the left-wing candidate is not "outside the Republican field". We must therefore expect à precise studies on a case-by-case basis to find out who will be a candidate in each constituency in the 2nd round of these legislative elections. It is likely that the left will emerge strengthened due to the withdrawals from Ensemble in many triangular constituencies. This is a form of turnaround, since during the campaign, Gabriel Attal and Emmanuel Macron have changed their position. repeatedly returned back &agrav; back the RN and the New Popular Front.
Éric Zemmour, the president of Reconquˆte!, will not have a deputy. No candidate from his party qualified. in the 2nd round. The polemicist has in any case given its voting instructions. Anyone who says they are "favorable& a large majority from the right", said on RTL recently "regretté" that Marine Le Pen did not want her party to take part in the an alliance with the RN. In the second round, "we will call à “vote against the left,” he said.
Hello and welcome &agrav; All of us are resuming this direct commitment to to the results of legislative legislation. Among the key information that arrived late yesterday evening, the government's line and the majority's line outgoing has changed. The head of state agreed with the Prime Minister for their party's candidates to withdraw in constituencies where there are no candidates. they arrived in third position and in which the left is in front. This will be the case, even in constituencies where there are many people. LFI candidates present themselves if they have not made radical remarks or defended a radical line. The president's advisors passed through a good part of the night à sift through the applications to rule out any support for an LFI candidate considered to be a candidate. as politically unacceptable. This Monday, a new strategic meeting takes place in Paris. l'Elys&eac;e to record the withdrawals.
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Ipsos also carried out projections in number of seats è based on its results from the legislative rounds. Here are the ranges that should fall into place. each block à the end of the second round this Sunday. The National Rally seems very close to the 289 seats necessary to obtain a majority. absolute:
Pollsters have a lot of trouble finding out what to do. refine their projection model for the 2nd round due to the local nature of the 577 ballots. But another parameter complicates the task of the institutes in trying to estimate the results of the 2nd round of legislative elections: the approximately 300 triangulars make the results of the 2nd round of legislative elections increasingly uncertain. In elections with 3 candidates, it is mechanically the far right which is the most advantaged, due to the ;#39;éscattering of votes between the two other candidates. In the event of a competitor withdrawing "to block off" &agrav; the far right, on the other hand, is often the loser.
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Legislative elections in France are organized according to a single-member majority voting system. two towers. The country is divided into 577 constituencies, each electing a deputy. &agrav; the National Assembly. When the results are announced, to be elected in the first round, a candidate must obtain more than 50% of the votes cast and a number of votes at least equal to 25% of registered voters. If no candidate meets these conditions, a second round is organized.
Only candidates having received at least 12.5% of the votes of registered voters during the results of the first round can run in the second round. If only one candidate meets this condition, the candidate arrives. in second position is also qualified. The second round often sees strategic alliances and withdrawals between parties to maximize the chances of victory against a common opponent.
The results of legislative elections determine the majority. parliamentary à the National Assembly. The party or coalition of parties with the greatest number of seats generally forms a majority. &agrav; the Assembly, which can be absolute (289 seats) or relative, and therefore orient more or less strongly the priorities of the country and the laws that will be voted on during the mandate. A majority parliamentary stability allows the government to function effectively and carry out à well his reforms. In the event of absence of a majority, absolute for a single party, majorities and therefore coalition governments can be formed.
The government is responsible to parliament, which can validate or reject it during a vote of confidence or after the tabling ;t of a motion of censure, it must therefore be in phase with this majority. exit from the polls. After the results of the legislative elections, the President of the Republic therefore generally appoints a Prime Minister, from his party in case of victory or of the majority party if another sensitivityé wins.
If the President of the Republic and the majority parliamentary belong à opposing parties, a situation of cohabitation occurs. In this case, the Prime Minister, who holds daily executive power, may have political views that diverge from those of the President, leading to tensions and compromises.
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