Towards the end of the war in Ukraine ? Trump has a plan, but it's not reassuring

Donald Trump has promised to end the war between Russia and Ukraine if he becomes ready again ;eacute;sident of the United States. But given its positions and the few measures revealed, this does not seem to be good news for kyiv.

The war between Russia and Ukraine “would never have happened if I had been president” when Russian troops invaded, Donald Trump said at his inauguration as the Republican candidate for the White House in July. He also said he could end the conflict “with a phone call” and “in less than 24 hours.” if he were elected. Now that he is assured of taking back the reins of the United States, after his victory in the presidential election on Wednesday, November 6, will he be able to match his words with actions? ? But above all, how could he go about putting an end to the war that has lasted for more than two years ?

Donald Trump's policy towards the war in Ukraine raises many fears and doubts, starting with the future of US military and financial aid deliveries to Kiev. The billionaire and future president of the United States has always been critical of American support for Ukraine, to the point of pressuring Congress to refuse to increase aid to the Eastern European country. A position that still seems relevant.

Several American analysts have estimated with the Washington Post, before the presidential election result, that after a Donald Trump victory “Ukraine's ability to fight would be greatly weakened”. According to them, the 47th president of the United States would not hesitate to reduce, or even suspend, American aid to Kiev.

Donald Trump's plan gives pride of place to Russia

While the future populist president has reiterated his ability to end the war, he has consistently refused to reveal how he would go about it. That's without counting on his vice president, J.D. Vance, who outlined some points of Donald Trump's plan on the Shawn Ryan Show podcast in September. Measures that, for many, meet the demands of Vladimir Putin and go against the positions of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. However, for Europe as for the United States during Joe Biden's mandate, peace must be obtained on Ukraine's terms and not on Russia's.

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Donald Trump's plan would be based on two major measures, the first being the creation of a “militarized zone” in Ukraine along the border with Russia, that is, in the Russian-speaking territories annexed by Moscow. Such a system would amount to leaving the territories of Donbass and Crimea under Russian control, as wanted by Vladimir Putin. However, the Ukrainian president has for his part assured that there will be no negotiations until Ukraine regains control of these lands so as not to arrive in a weak position at the negotiating table. The second point would consist of pushing Ukraine to renounce its entry into NATO or the European Union. The again, the Trumpian plan meets the interests and wishes of the Kremlin while neglecting those of Kiev.

These statements by Donald Trump's running mate have been confirmed by several sources to the Washington Postciting discussions at a meeting of right-wing American politicians, including Michael Anton, a former aide to the billionaire, and a delegation from the European Council on Foreign Relations. They also outlined another measure against Moscow: that Russia ease its dependence on China, economic competitor of the United States.

An admiration for Putin, an exchange with Zelensky

With the election of Donald Trump, Ukraine fears a withdrawal of US military and economic aid. “The next US president could strengthen or weaken support for Ukraine. If this support weakens, Russia will seize more territory, which will prevent us from winning this war,” Volodymyr Zelensky said on October 31, during an interview with the KBS audiovisual group.

But the Ukrainian president wants to improve his relations with the future leader of the United States: he congratulated him after his victory and declared never heard the Republican say he didn't want to help Ukraine. The two men then spoke by phone and “agreed to maintain a close dialogue and advance [their] cooperation,” according to the Ukrainian president.

But while Donald Trump has spoken with his Ukrainian counterpart, he has always shown a certain admiration for Vladimir Putin and has avoided to be critical of the Kremlin and its dictatorial regime, as reported by the Washington Post. A report to the Russian president that, combined with “his unprecedented hostility to NATO”, “cannot give Europe or Ukraine any confidence in [Donald Trump's] relations with Russia”, warned Tom Donilon, adviser to national security under Barack Obama's presidency to the American newspaper. And the man added that Donald Trump's position “represents a clear and present danger to the security of the United States and Europe”.